Football · Brazil Serie B · 22/07, 00:30
Prediction: Avai vs America MG
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Avai1.32
America MG1.08
1X2
Avai
Draw
America MG
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Avai
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
America MG
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avai
2–2–2
America MG
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avai | America MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avai 2–2–2 America MG
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/25 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Avai |
| 27/04/25 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 3-0 HT 1-0 | America MG |
| 12/10/24 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 2-2 HT 1-2 | America MG |
| 26/06/24 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Avai |
| 31/07/22 Brazil Serie A | America MG | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Avai |
| 11/04/22 Brazil Serie A | Avai | 1-0 HT 0-0 | America MG |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 30 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Bernardo SP | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Goias | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 25 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 12 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 23 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 23 |
| 14 | Nautico | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 16 | Londrina | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 19 |
| 17 | Ceara | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 18 |
| 18 | Avai | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avai | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cuiaba | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Londrina | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ceara | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Criciuma | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: America MG (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
America MG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avai vs America MG?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avai win (41%). Probabilities: Avai 41%, draw 30%, America MG 29%.
How many goals are expected in Avai vs America MG?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Avai 1.32 · America MG 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Avai vs America MG?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.