Football · Brazil Serie B · 16/08, 23:30

Result and prediction: America MG vs Athletic Club MG

Final result

Half time: 0-1

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · America MG 37%

37% 32% 30%

America MGDrawAthletic Club MG

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	America MG	Draw	Athletic Club MG
Our model	37%	34%	30%
Market	38%	32%	31%

Estimated total (goals) 1.98 · actual 4

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.