Football · Brazil Serie B · 26/08, 00:30

Prediction: Atletico GO vs Botafogo SP

Team pages: Atletico GO · Botafogo SP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Atletico GO1.23

Botafogo SP0.84

1X2

44% 31% 24%

Atletico GO Draw Botafogo SP

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico GO 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWDLD

Botafogo SP 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWLWWD

Head-to-head

Atletico GO 1–4–1 Botafogo SP (6 last)

Botafogo SP1-1Atletico GO
Atletico GO2-0Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP1-1Atletico GO
Botafogo SP1-0Atletico GO
Atletico GO1-1Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP0-0Atletico GO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico GO 1519 · Botafogo SP 1536

	Atletico GO	Draw	Botafogo SP
Our model	44%	32%	24%
Market	45%	30%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico GO	Botafogo SP
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	3.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.90 → 3.80▼	Pinn 3.93 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.2% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +11’	1.95	3.10	3.90
16:58 +6’	2.05▲	3.10	3.70▼
07:01 +3’	2.10▲	3.10	3.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:18	1.90	3.21	4.55
08:03 +1’	2.13▲	3.05▼	3.86▼
14:37 +1’	2.12▼	3.07▲	3.88▲
17:32 +3’	2.08▼	3.08▲	3.98▲
12:38 +3’	2.10▲	3.07▼	3.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico GO 1–4–1 Botafogo SP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	1-1 HT 1-1	Atletico GO
10/08/25 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	2-0 HT 0-0	Botafogo SP
14/04/25 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	1-1 HT 1-0	Atletico GO
16/09/23 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	1-0 HT 1-0	Atletico GO
27/05/23 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	1-1 HT 0-0	Botafogo SP
18/10/19 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico GO

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	23	12	8	3	25	15	44
2	EC Juventude	23	12	6	5	24	12	42
3	Vila Nova	23	12	4	7	35	25	40
4	Gremio Novorizontino	23	10	7	6	35	20	37
5	Fortaleza	23	10	7	6	25	21	37
6	CRB	23	10	6	7	34	32	36
7	Operario PR	23	10	5	8	30	31	35
8	Sport Recife	23	8	11	4	29	22	35
9	Athletic Club MG	23	8	10	5	24	21	34
10	Goias	24	9	6	9	23	29	33
11	Atletico GO	23	8	9	6	24	23	33
12	Cuiaba	24	7	12	5	21	18	33
13	Sao Bernardo SP	23	8	7	8	32	26	31
14	Botafogo SP	23	8	7	8	28	23	31
15	Nautico	23	8	6	9	27	26	30
16	Ceara	24	7	7	10	25	30	28
17	Avai	23	7	5	11	25	30	26
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	23	2	5	16	16	39	11
20	Ponte Preta	23	2	4	17	16	48	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico GO	Botafogo SP
Londrina	0-0 D	0-0 D
Fortaleza	1-0 W	0-1 L
Sport Recife	1-1 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico GO (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico GO

DWLWDWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	15	6	L
09/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
28/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
24/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
18/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
12/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
04/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
28/06	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
19/06	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

Botafogo SP

WLWDDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
15/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
08/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
29/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
24/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-2	4	4	W
18/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-3	2	7	D
07/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
01/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
21/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico GO vs Botafogo SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico GO win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico GO 44%, draw 31%, Botafogo SP 24%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico GO vs Botafogo SP?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Atletico GO 1.23 · Botafogo SP 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico GO vs Botafogo SP?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.