Football · Brazil Serie B · 26/08, 00:30

Prediction: EC Juventude vs CRB

Team pages: EC Juventude · CRB

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.85Total

EC Juventude1.21

CRB0.64

1X2

50% 30% 19%

EC Juventude Draw CRB

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

EC Juventude 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLWDW

CRB 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWDW

Head-to-head

EC Juventude 5–1 CRB (6 last)

CRB0-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude3-1CRB
CRB1-2EC Juventude
CRB0-1EC Juventude
CRB1-0EC Juventude
EC Juventude2-0CRB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Juventude 1568 · CRB 1551

	EC Juventude	Draw	CRB
Our model	49%	33%	18%
Market	51%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours EC Juventude: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EC Juventude	CRB
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	3.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95
X	3.25 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.21
2	4.50 → 4.10▼	Pinn 4.41 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +9’	1.80	3.25	4.50
17:03 +1’	1.95▲	3.20▼	4.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:17	1.88	3.24	4.33
03:59	1.90▲	3.28▲	4.40▲
22:03 +4’	1.93▲	3.21▼	4.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude 5–0–1 CRB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Brazil Serie B	CRB	0-1 HT 0-1	EC Juventude
16/09/23 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	3-1 HT 0-0	CRB
27/05/23 Brazil Serie B	CRB	1-2 HT 0-2	EC Juventude
08/11/20 Brazil Serie B	CRB	0-1 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
23/09/20 Copa do Brasil	CRB	1-0 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
17/09/20 Copa do Brasil	EC Juventude	2-0 HT 1-0	CRB

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	23	12	8	3	25	15	44
2	EC Juventude	23	12	6	5	24	12	42
3	Vila Nova	23	12	4	7	35	25	40
4	Gremio Novorizontino	23	10	7	6	35	20	37
5	Fortaleza	23	10	7	6	25	21	37
6	CRB	23	10	6	7	34	32	36
7	Operario PR	23	10	5	8	30	31	35
8	Sport Recife	23	8	11	4	29	22	35
9	Athletic Club MG	23	8	10	5	24	21	34
10	Goias	24	9	6	9	23	29	33
11	Atletico GO	23	8	9	6	24	23	33
12	Cuiaba	24	7	12	5	21	18	33
13	Sao Bernardo SP	23	8	7	8	32	26	31
14	Botafogo SP	23	8	7	8	28	23	31
15	Nautico	23	8	6	9	27	26	30
16	Ceara	24	7	7	10	25	30	28
17	Avai	23	7	5	11	25	30	26
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	23	2	5	16	16	39	11
20	Ponte Preta	23	2	4	17	16	48	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EC Juventude	CRB
Goias	1-0 W	2-2 D
Fortaleza	0-0 D	1-1 D
Gremio Novorizontino	1-0 W	0-0 D
Avai	1-0 W	1-0 W
Botafogo SP	2-4 L	1-0 W
Vila Nova	1-0 W	2-0 W
Nautico	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CRB (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

EC Juventude

DWWLWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
15/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
05/08	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
02/08	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-4	9	4	L
18/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
11/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

CRB

DWLDWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
16/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
12/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
23/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
17/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
13/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
04/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-5	11	4	L
01/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude vs CRB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EC Juventude win (50%). Probabilities: EC Juventude 50%, draw 30%, CRB 19%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude vs CRB?

The model expects 1.85 goals (EC Juventude 1.21 · CRB 0.64), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude vs CRB?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.