Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 18/10, 11:30

Prediction: JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva

Team pages: JK Nomme Kalju II · FC Elva

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

JK Nomme Kalju II1.16

FC Elva1.48

1X2

28% 28% 43%

JK Nomme Kalju II Draw FC Elva

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Nomme Kalju II 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

FC Elva 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWLWDL

Head-to-head

JK Nomme Kalju II 2–2–2 FC Elva (6 last)

FC Elva1-0JK Nomme Kalju II
JK Nomme Kalju II2-2FC Elva
FC Elva2-4JK Nomme Kalju II
FC Elva0-1JK Nomme Kalju II
JK Nomme Kalju II1-1FC Elva
FC Elva2-1JK Nomme Kalju II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Elva (rating 1413 vs 1516).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Nomme Kalju II	FC Elva
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.5	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.29 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.30
X	4.83 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.25
2	1.45 → 1.98▲	Pinn 1.98

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44 +22’	4.29	4.83	1.45
05:01 +3’	4.30▲	4.87▲	1.45▼
09:53 +9’	3.58▼	4.59▼	1.63▲
11:00 +2’	3.26▼	4.45▼	1.72▲
12:04	3.30▲	3.25▼	1.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme Kalju II 2–2–2 FC Elva

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	1-0 HT 1-0	JK Nomme Kalju II
05/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme Kalju II	2-2 HT 2-0	FC Elva
02/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	2-4 HT 1-3	JK Nomme Kalju II
04/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	0-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme Kalju II
30/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme Kalju II	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Elva
11/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	2-1 HT 0-1	JK Nomme Kalju II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	33	22	5	6	92	39	71
2	Viimsi JK	32	17	5	10	58	32	56
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	32	15	6	11	73	55	51
4	FC Elva	32	15	6	11	47	48	51
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	32	16	2	14	62	55	50
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	31	11	7	13	53	57	40
7	JK Nomme United II	32	11	6	15	50	63	39
8	FC Tallinn	32	9	8	15	41	71	35
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	32	7	4	21	38	80	25

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Nomme Kalju II	FC Elva
JK Nomme United II	2-3 L	1-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	0-3 L	0-4 L
FC Flora Tallinn II	1-5 L	2-1 W
FC Tallinn	2-0 W	1-1 D
JK Tallinna Kalev	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Elva (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Nomme Kalju II

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
21/09	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	2-3	4	5	L
14/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
10/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-4	1-5	3	5	L
06/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
29/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
23/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	2-4	2	3	L
20/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
17/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
10/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-3	0	4	L

FC Elva

WLWDWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
19/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
10/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
06/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
24/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
20/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
15/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	12	5	L
08/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	2-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Elva win (43%). Probabilities: JK Nomme Kalju II 28%, draw 28%, FC Elva 43%.

How many goals are expected in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva?

The model expects 2.63 goals (JK Nomme Kalju II 1.16 · FC Elva 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.