Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 24/10, 11:30

Prediction: JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn

Team pages: JK Nomme Kalju II · FC Tallinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

JK Nomme Kalju II1.96

FC Tallinn1.94

1X2

39% 23% 38%

JK Nomme Kalju II Draw FC Tallinn

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Nomme Kalju II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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FC Tallinn 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

JK Nomme Kalju II 2–4 FC Tallinn (6 last)

FC Tallinn0-2JK Nomme Kalju II
JK Nomme Kalju II1-3FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn6-3JK Nomme Kalju II
FC Tallinn2-1JK Nomme Kalju II
JK Nomme Kalju II1-0FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn7-0JK Nomme Kalju II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tallinn (rating 1395 vs 1447).
H2H favours FC Tallinn: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Nomme Kalju II	FC Tallinn
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.2	0.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.84

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.50 → 3.62▲	Pinn 3.62
X	3.79 → 4.03▲	Pinn 4.03
2	2.17 → 1.70▼	Pinn 1.70

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44 +21’	2.50	3.79	2.17
08:46 +12’	2.75▲	3.70▼	2.03▼
10:40 +19’	3.62▲	4.03▲	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme Kalju II 2–0–4 FC Tallinn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	0-2 HT 0-1	JK Nomme Kalju II
01/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme Kalju II	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Tallinn
04/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	6-3 HT 2-2	JK Nomme Kalju II
27/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	2-1 HT 0-1	JK Nomme Kalju II
09/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme Kalju II	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Tallinn
03/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	7-0 HT 1-0	JK Nomme Kalju II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	35	24	5	6	99	44	77
2	Viimsi JK	33	18	5	10	61	32	59
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	33	16	6	11	76	57	54
4	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	33	17	2	14	64	56	53
5	FC Elva	33	15	7	11	47	48	52
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	33	11	7	15	56	62	40
7	JK Nomme United II	34	11	6	17	55	70	39
8	FC Tallinn	33	9	8	16	41	74	35
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	33	7	5	21	38	80	26

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Nomme Kalju II	FC Tallinn
FC Elva	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-1 L	1-5 L
JK Nomme United II	2-3 L	1-1 D
Tartu JK Welco	0-3 L	0-7 L
FC Flora Tallinn II	1-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Nomme Kalju II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
14/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
21/09	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	2-3	4	5	L
14/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
10/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-4	1-5	3	5	L
06/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
29/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
23/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	2-4	2	3	L
20/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
17/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L

FC Tallinn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
15/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-4	0-7	2	6	L
10/10	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
13/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-5	6	4	L
03/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
29/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
23/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
20/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Nomme Kalju II win (39%). Probabilities: JK Nomme Kalju II 39%, draw 23%, FC Tallinn 38%.

How many goals are expected in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

The model expects 3.9 goals (JK Nomme Kalju II 1.96 · FC Tallinn 1.94), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.