Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 25/10, 11:30

Prediction: FC Elva vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Team pages: FC Elva · FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

FC Elva1.64

FC Levadia Tallinn U211.26

1X2

45% 27% 28%

FC Elva Draw FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Elva 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWDLD

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Elva 3–2–1 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (6 last)

FC Levadia Tallinn U212-2FC Elva
FC Levadia Tallinn U211-3FC Elva
FC Elva3-2FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U212-1FC Elva
FC Elva2-0FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Elva2-2FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Elva: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Elva	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	3.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.84

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.55
X	3.53 → 2.99▼	Pinn 2.99
2	2.37 → 2.58▲	Pinn 2.58

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:43 +25’	2.38	3.53	2.37
02:24 +41’	2.08▼	3.61▲	2.73▲
09:43 +19’	2.15▲	3.66▲	2.68▼
11:00 +3’	2.13▼	3.67▲	2.70▲
12:03	2.55▲	2.99▼	2.58▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elva 3–2–1 FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	2-2 HT 0-0	FC Elva
28/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-3 HT 0-2	FC Elva
21/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
23/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Elva
09/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
01/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	2-2 HT 2-2	FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	35	24	5	6	99	44	77
2	Viimsi JK	33	18	5	10	61	32	59
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	34	17	3	14	67	59	54
4	FC Flora Tallinn II	33	16	6	11	76	57	54
5	FC Elva	34	15	8	11	50	51	53
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	33	11	7	15	56	62	40
7	JK Nomme United II	34	11	6	17	55	70	39
8	FC Tallinn	34	10	8	16	43	75	38
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	34	7	5	22	39	82	26

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Elva	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
JK Nomme Kalju II	0-0 D	1-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	0-4 L	0-0 D
FC Tallinn	1-1 D	5-1 W
FC Flora Tallinn II	2-1 W	6-2 W
Viimsi JK	0-5 L	0-5 L
JK Nomme United II	1-0 W	1-0 W
Maardu Linnameeskond	1-0 W	2-4 L
JK Tallinna Kalev	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Elva

LWDWWLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
09/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
19/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
10/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
06/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
24/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
20/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
15/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	12	5	L

FC Levadia Tallinn U21

LLWLWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
14/10	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/10	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-1	7	4	W
10/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
04/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	6-2	4	5	W
29/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-4	5	3	L
23/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
20/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
15/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	0-5	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Elva vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Elva win (45%). Probabilities: FC Elva 45%, draw 27%, FC Levadia Tallinn U21 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Elva vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model expects 2.9 goals (FC Elva 1.64 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.26), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Elva vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.