Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 26/10, 18:00

Prediction: Viimsi JK vs FC Flora Tallinn II

Team pages: Viimsi JK · FC Flora Tallinn II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Viimsi JK2.51

FC Flora Tallinn II1.3

1X2

63% 19% 18%

Viimsi JK Draw FC Flora Tallinn II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Flora Tallinn II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Viimsi JK 3–1–2 FC Flora Tallinn II (6 last)

FC Flora Tallinn II2-1Viimsi JK
FC Flora Tallinn II0-4Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK2-1FC Flora Tallinn II
Viimsi JK2-0FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II1-0Viimsi JK
FC Flora Tallinn II0-0Viimsi JK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK 1539 · FC Flora Tallinn II 1484

	Viimsi JK	Draw	FC Flora Tallinn II
Our model	63%	19%	17%
Market	64%	19%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1539 vs 1484).
H2H favours Viimsi JK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK	FC Flora Tallinn II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	3.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.40▼	Pinn 1.78 ★
X	4.20 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
2	3.60 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 14%

Time*	1	X	2
02:51 +30’	1.67	4.20	3.60
02:50 +13’	1.57▼	4.33▲	4.00▲
09:57 +5’	1.60▲	4.33	3.90▼
11:00 +2’	1.50▼	4.50▲	4.20▲
11:59 +2’	1.40▼	4.75▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:33 +29’	1.59	4.24	3.83
07:03 +59’	1.51▼	4.35▲	4.22▲
09:50 +12’	1.50▼	4.40▲	4.34▲
10:47 +14’	1.61▲	4.24▼	3.71▼
11:52 +9’	1.50▼	4.51▲	4.21▲
12:43 +22’	1.49▼	4.52▲	4.24▲
14:00 +1’	1.60▲	4.27▼	3.75▼
14:55 +9’	1.77▲	3.85▼	3.06▼
16:03 +1’	1.71▼	4.00▲	3.29▲
17:01 +1’	1.78▲	3.80▼	3.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK 3–1–2 FC Flora Tallinn II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	2-1 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
09/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	0-4 HT 0-2	Viimsi JK
06/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-1 HT 2-1	FC Flora Tallinn II
16/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Flora Tallinn II
31/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	1-0 HT 1-0	Viimsi JK
05/07/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	0-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	35	24	5	6	99	44	77
2	Viimsi JK	33	18	5	10	61	32	59
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	34	17	3	14	67	59	54
4	FC Flora Tallinn II	33	16	6	11	76	57	54
5	FC Elva	34	15	8	11	50	51	53
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	33	11	7	15	56	62	40
7	JK Nomme United II	34	11	6	17	55	70	39
8	FC Tallinn	34	10	8	16	43	75	38
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	34	7	5	22	39	82	26

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK	FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Tallinn	3-0 W	1-2 L
JK Tallinna Kalev	2-1 W	2-2 D
Tartu JK Welco	0-2 L	1-2 L
JK Nomme United II	0-1 L	3-2 W
FC Elva	5-0 W	1-2 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	5-0 W	2-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viimsi JK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
10/10	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
17/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-2	13	4	L
13/09	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
10/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	6	4	W
03/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
29/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
21/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	8	9	L
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W

FC Flora Tallinn II

LWDWLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	3-2	8	8	W
10/10	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
18/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
13/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
10/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	4-0	5-1	9	5	W
04/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-6	2	5	L
29/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	11	3	W
24/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
21/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	2	9	W
15/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK win (63%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK 63%, draw 19%, FC Flora Tallinn II 18%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Viimsi JK 2.51 · FC Flora Tallinn II 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.