Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 22/10, 18:00

Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn II vs JK Nomme United II

Team pages: FC Flora Tallinn II · JK Nomme United II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

FC Flora Tallinn II2.27

JK Nomme United II1.59

1X2

53% 20% 27%

FC Flora Tallinn II Draw JK Nomme United II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Flora Tallinn II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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JK Nomme United II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Flora Tallinn II 0–3–0 JK Nomme United II (3 last)

JK Nomme United II1-1FC Flora Tallinn II
JK Nomme United II3-3FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II2-2JK Nomme United II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Flora Tallinn II 1498 · JK Nomme United II 1482

	FC Flora Tallinn II	Draw	JK Nomme United II
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	54%	19%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Flora Tallinn II	JK Nomme United II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:56 +9’	1.67	4.75	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn II 0–3–0 JK Nomme United II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Flora Tallinn II
30/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	3-3 HT 1-1	FC Flora Tallinn II
13/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	2-2 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	34	23	5	6	96	42	74
2	Viimsi JK	33	18	5	10	61	32	59
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	33	17	2	14	64	56	53
4	FC Elva	33	15	7	11	47	48	52
5	FC Flora Tallinn II	32	15	6	11	73	55	51
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	32	11	7	14	54	59	40
7	JK Nomme United II	33	11	6	16	53	67	39
8	FC Tallinn	33	9	8	16	41	74	35
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	33	7	5	21	38	80	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Flora Tallinn II	JK Nomme United II
FC Tallinn	1-2 L	1-1 D
JK Tallinna Kalev	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Elva	1-2 L	0-1 L
JK Nomme Kalju II	5-1 W	3-2 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	2-6 L	0-1 L
Viimsi JK	2-1 W	1-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	1-2 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JK Nomme United II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Flora Tallinn II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
18/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
13/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
10/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	4-0	5-1	9	5	W
04/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-6	2	5	L
29/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	11	3	W
24/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
21/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	2	9	W
15/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W

JK Nomme United II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	3-4	6	3	L
09/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
21/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	2	5	W
13/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
10/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	16	9	L
24/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-4	3	5	L
20/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
17/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn II vs JK Nomme United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Flora Tallinn II win (53%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn II 53%, draw 20%, JK Nomme United II 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn II vs JK Nomme United II?

The model expects 3.87 goals (FC Flora Tallinn II 2.27 · JK Nomme United II 1.59), with a 56% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn II vs JK Nomme United II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.