Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 18/10, 11:30

Prediction: Tartu JK Welco vs JK Nomme United II

Team pages: Tartu JK Welco · JK Nomme United II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Tartu JK Welco2.17

JK Nomme United II1.08

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Tartu JK Welco Draw JK Nomme United II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Tartu JK Welco 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDDWWWW

JK Nomme United II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Tartu JK Welco 2–1 JK Nomme United II (3 last)

JK Nomme United II2-1Tartu JK Welco
Tartu JK Welco5-2JK Nomme United II
JK Nomme United II1-3Tartu JK Welco

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tartu JK Welco (rating 1587 vs 1479).
H2H favours Tartu JK Welco: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tartu JK Welco	JK Nomme United II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.4	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.78

Under 2.51.96

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 12:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.36 → 2.37▲	Pinn 2.37
X	5.31 → 3.31▼	Pinn 3.31
2	4.89 → 2.56▼	Pinn 2.56

See the full journey (6)

Pinnacle margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:53 +13’	1.36	5.31	4.89
03:05 +59’	1.37▲	5.28▼	4.86▼
07:35 +28’	1.47▲	4.89▼	4.16▼
09:33 +29’	1.47▲	5.01▲	4.25▲
11:00 +2’	1.81▲	4.22▼	3.10▼
12:04	2.37▲	3.31▼	2.56▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tartu JK Welco 2–0–1 JK Nomme United II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	2-1 HT 0-1	Tartu JK Welco
21/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Tartu JK Welco	5-2 HT 3-1	JK Nomme United II
03/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	1-3 HT 0-1	Tartu JK Welco

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	33	22	5	6	92	39	71
2	Viimsi JK	32	17	5	10	58	32	56
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	32	15	6	11	73	55	51
4	FC Elva	32	15	6	11	47	48	51
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	32	16	2	14	62	55	50
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	31	11	7	13	53	57	40
7	JK Nomme United II	32	11	6	15	50	63	39
8	FC Tallinn	32	9	8	15	41	71	35
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	32	7	4	21	38	80	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tartu JK Welco	JK Nomme United II
FC Tallinn	7-0 W	1-1 D
FC Elva	4-0 W	0-1 L
Viimsi JK	2-0 W	1-0 W
JK Nomme Kalju II	3-0 W	3-2 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-0 D	0-1 L
JK Tallinna Kalev	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tartu JK Welco (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tartu JK Welco

WWWLDDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	4-0	7-0	5	6	W
09/10	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
10/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
23/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	4-2	14	3	W
20/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	4-2	8	2	W
15/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-1	5	7	W

JK Nomme United II

LWDLLLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
21/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	2	5	W
13/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
10/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	16	9	L
24/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-4	3	5	L
20/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
17/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
08/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tartu JK Welco vs JK Nomme United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tartu JK Welco win (61%). Probabilities: Tartu JK Welco 61%, draw 22%, JK Nomme United II 17%.

How many goals are expected in Tartu JK Welco vs JK Nomme United II?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Tartu JK Welco 2.17 · JK Nomme United II 1.08), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tartu JK Welco vs JK Nomme United II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.