Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 10/10, 11:30

Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Tallinn

Team pages: FC Flora Tallinn II · FC Tallinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

FC Flora Tallinn II2.44

FC Tallinn1.46

1X2

59% 20% 21%

FC Flora Tallinn II Draw FC Tallinn

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Flora Tallinn II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLWLD

FC Tallinn 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Flora Tallinn II 3–3 FC Tallinn (6 last)

FC Tallinn1-0FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Tallinn1-3FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II5-0FC Tallinn
FC Flora Tallinn II2-4FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn2-3FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Tallinn1-0FC Flora Tallinn II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Flora Tallinn II 1520 · FC Tallinn 1462

	FC Flora Tallinn II	Draw	FC Tallinn
Our model	58%	20%	21%
Market	59%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn II (rating 1520 vs 1462).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Flora Tallinn II	FC Tallinn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.5	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +6’	1.53	4.50	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn II 3–0–3 FC Tallinn

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Flora Tallinn II
18/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Flora Tallinn II
10/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	5-0 HT 2-0	FC Tallinn
27/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	2-4 HT 2-1	FC Tallinn
02/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	2-3 HT 1-2	FC Flora Tallinn II
14/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Flora Tallinn II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	31	20	5	6	81	39	65
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56	31	53
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	31	15	6	10	72	53	51
4	FC Elva	31	15	6	10	47	44	51
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	30	14	2	14	60	55	44
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52	55	40
7	JK Nomme United II	31	11	6	14	50	62	39
8	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39	63	32
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	31	7	4	20	38	79	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Flora Tallinn II	FC Tallinn
JK Tallinna Kalev	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Elva	1-2 L	1-1 D
JK Nomme Kalju II	5-1 W	0-2 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	2-6 L	1-5 L
Viimsi JK	2-1 W	2-1 W
Tartu JK Welco	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tallinn (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Flora Tallinn II

LWLWDWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
13/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
10/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	4-0	5-1	9	5	W
04/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-6	2	5	L
29/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	11	3	W
24/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
21/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	2	9	W
15/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
01/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

FC Tallinn

WWDLDLLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
13/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-5	6	4	L
03/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
29/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
23/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
20/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
08/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
01/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
18/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Tallinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Flora Tallinn II win (59%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn II 59%, draw 20%, FC Tallinn 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Tallinn?

The model expects 3.9 goals (FC Flora Tallinn II 2.44 · FC Tallinn 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Tallinn?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.