Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK

Team pages: JK Tallinna Kalev · Viimsi JK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

JK Tallinna Kalev1.35

Viimsi JK1.99

1X2

25% 23% 52%

JK Tallinna Kalev Draw Viimsi JK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tallinna Kalev 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLDLD

Viimsi JK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

JK Tallinna Kalev 1–2–3 Viimsi JK (6 last)

Viimsi JK1-2JK Tallinna Kalev
JK Tallinna Kalev0-3Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK2-0JK Tallinna Kalev
Viimsi JK3-1JK Tallinna Kalev
JK Tallinna Kalev0-0Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK1-1JK Tallinna Kalev

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tallinna Kalev 1478 · Viimsi JK 1520

	JK Tallinna Kalev	Draw	Viimsi JK
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1478 vs 1520).
H2H favours Viimsi JK: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tallinna Kalev	Viimsi JK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2.3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +4’	3.50	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev 1–2–3 Viimsi JK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-2 HT 1-1	JK Tallinna Kalev
27/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev	0-3 HT 0-1	Viimsi JK
19/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-0 HT 1-0	JK Tallinna Kalev
01/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Viimsi JK	3-1 HT 0-1	JK Tallinna Kalev
30/11/24 Estonia Play-Offs	JK Tallinna Kalev	0-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
24/11/24 Estonia Play-Offs	Viimsi JK	1-1 HT 0-1	JK Tallinna Kalev

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	31	20	5	6	81	39	65
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56	31	53
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	31	15	6	10	72	53	51
4	FC Elva	31	15	6	10	47	44	51
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	30	14	2	14	60	55	44
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52	55	40
7	JK Nomme United II	31	11	6	14	50	62	39
8	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39	63	32
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	31	7	4	20	38	79	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tallinna Kalev	Viimsi JK
FC Flora Tallinn II	2-2 D	1-2 L
JK Nomme United II	1-2 L	0-1 L
Tartu JK Welco	1-1 D	0-2 L
Maardu Linnameeskond	1-3 L	2-1 W
FC Elva	1-0 W	5-0 W
FC Tallinn	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Tallinna Kalev

WWDWWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-2	7	2	D
10/09	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	9	6	L
05/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
29/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-5	6	3	L
24/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
20/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	3-0	9	5	W
15/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
03/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
18/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	8	4	W

Viimsi JK

LWWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-2	13	4	L
13/09	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
10/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	6	4	W
03/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
29/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
21/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	8	9	L
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viimsi JK win (52%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev 25%, draw 23%, Viimsi JK 52%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK?

The model expects 3.34 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev 1.35 · Viimsi JK 1.99), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.