Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 09/10, 17:00

Prediction: JK Nomme United II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Team pages: JK Nomme United II · FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

JK Nomme United II1.96

FC Levadia Tallinn U211.79

1X2

42% 22% 36%

JK Nomme United II Draw FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Nomme United II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Levadia Tallinn U21 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

JK Nomme United II 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (3 last)

JK Nomme United II1-2FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U214-2JK Nomme United II
FC Levadia Tallinn U210-1JK Nomme United II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Nomme United II 1511 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1530

	JK Nomme United II	Draw	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Our model	42%	23%	35%
Market	43%	21%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Levadia Tallinn U21: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Nomme United II	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	2.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.67 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +16’	2.10	4.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:22 +2’	2.67	4.15	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme United II 1–0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
25/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	4-2 HT 1-1	JK Nomme United II
16/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	31	20	5	6	81	39	65
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56	31	53
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	31	15	6	10	72	53	51
4	FC Elva	31	15	6	10	47	44	51
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	30	14	2	14	60	55	44
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52	55	40
7	JK Nomme United II	31	11	6	14	50	62	39
8	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39	63	32
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	31	7	4	20	38	79	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Nomme United II	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
JK Nomme Kalju II	3-2 W	2-0 W
Viimsi JK	1-0 W	0-5 L
Maardu Linnameeskond	1-2 L	2-4 L
FC Elva	0-1 L	2-2 D
FC Tallinn	1-1 D	5-1 W
Tartu JK Welco	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Nomme United II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	2	5	W
13/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
10/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	16	9	L
24/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-4	3	5	L
20/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
17/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
08/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	5	2	W

FC Levadia Tallinn U21

WDWLLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-1	7	4	W
10/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
04/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	6-2	4	5	W
29/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-4	5	3	L
23/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
20/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
15/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	0-5	4	9	L
08/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
01/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-2	7	3	D
18/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Nomme United II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Nomme United II win (42%). Probabilities: JK Nomme United II 42%, draw 22%, FC Levadia Tallinn U21 36%.

How many goals are expected in JK Nomme United II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model expects 3.74 goals (JK Nomme United II 1.96 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.79), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Nomme United II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.