Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 03/09, 18:00

Prediction: Viimsi JK vs FC Tallinn

Team pages: Viimsi JK · FC Tallinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Viimsi JK2.63

FC Tallinn1.03

1X2

71% 16% 12%

Viimsi JK Draw FC Tallinn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWLWW

FC Tallinn 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDLDLL

Head-to-head

Viimsi JK 6–0 FC Tallinn (6 last)

FC Tallinn0-2Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK5-1FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn1-2Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK2-1FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn0-2Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK3-1FC Tallinn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK 1610 · FC Tallinn 1452

	Viimsi JK	Draw	FC Tallinn
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1610 vs 1452).
H2H favours Viimsi JK: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK	FC Tallinn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.6	1.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +7’	1.25	5.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK 6–0–0 FC Tallinn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	0-2 HT 0-2	Viimsi JK
16/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	5-1 HT 0-1	FC Tallinn
02/11/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	1-2 HT 1-1	Viimsi JK
14/07/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Tallinn
17/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	0-2 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
04/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Tallinn

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	26	17	3	6	75	38	54
2	Viimsi JK	26	14	5	7	50	26	47
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	26	13	5	8	62	42	44
4	FC Elva	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	26	11	5	10	43	54	38
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	26	10	5	11	48	50	35
7	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	26	11	1	14	49	52	34
8	JK Nomme United II	26	7	6	13	43	57	27
9	FC Tallinn	26	6	7	13	31	56	25
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	26	6	4	16	35	67	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK	FC Tallinn
Tartu JK Welco	3-1 W	2-0 W
JK Nomme United II	4-1 W	1-1 D
FC Flora Tallinn II	1-2 L	1-0 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	5-0 W	1-2 L
Maardu Linnameeskond	2-1 W	0-1 L
JK Tallinna Kalev	1-2 L	1-1 D
JK Nomme Kalju II	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viimsi JK

DDWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
21/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	8	9	L
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
11/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-2	23	1	D
02/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-2	6	8	D

FC Tallinn

LLWWWDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
23/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
20/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
08/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
01/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
18/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
04/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	3-2	4-3	7	9	W
21/06	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
18/06	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-3	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK vs FC Tallinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK win (71%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK 71%, draw 16%, FC Tallinn 12%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK vs FC Tallinn?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Viimsi JK 2.63 · FC Tallinn 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK vs FC Tallinn?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.