Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 24/08, 18:00

Prediction: Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme United II

Team pages: Viimsi JK · JK Nomme United II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Viimsi JK2.36

JK Nomme United II1.24

1X2

62% 20% 19%

Viimsi JK Draw JK Nomme United II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWLWWL

JK Nomme United II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLWLWD

Head-to-head

Viimsi JK 1–1 JK Nomme United II (2 last)

JK Nomme United II0-3Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK1-3JK Nomme United II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK 1536 · JK Nomme United II 1464

	Viimsi JK	Draw	JK Nomme United II
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1536 vs 1464).
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK	JK Nomme United II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.7	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:22 +9’	1.44	4.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK 1–0–1 JK Nomme United II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	0-3 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
12/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-3 HT 1-1	JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	24	16	3	5	70	33	51
2	Viimsi JK	24	12	5	7	43	24	41
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	24	12	4	8	57	42	40
4	FC Elva	24	11	4	9	42	37	37
5	JK Tallinna Kalev	24	10	5	9	47	42	35
6	Maardu Linnameeskond	24	9	5	10	36	51	32
7	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	24	10	1	13	45	47	31
8	JK Nomme United II	24	7	6	11	42	52	27
9	FC Tallinn	24	6	7	11	30	52	25
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	24	5	4	15	31	63	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK	JK Nomme United II
FC Flora Tallinn II	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	5-0 W	1-2 L
JK Tallinna Kalev	1-2 L	1-3 L
JK Nomme Kalju II	2-2 D	2-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JK Nomme United II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viimsi JK

WLDDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	8	9	L
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
11/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-2	23	1	D
02/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-2	6	8	D
22/06	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
27/05	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	3-0	2	5	W

JK Nomme United II

LDLDLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
17/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
08/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
27/07	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-3	1	7	L
18/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
12/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
04/07	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	2-3	3-4	12	9	L
30/06	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	3-3	2	6	D
21/06	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-3	2-5	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK win (62%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK 62%, draw 20%, JK Nomme United II 19%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme United II?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Viimsi JK 2.36 · JK Nomme United II 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme United II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.