Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 29/08, 11:30

Prediction: Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Team pages: Maardu Linnameeskond · FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Maardu Linnameeskond2.11

FC Levadia Tallinn U211.9

1X2

43% 22% 35%

Maardu Linnameeskond Draw FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Maardu Linnameeskond 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWLW

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maardu Linnameeskond 6–0 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (6 last)

FC Levadia Tallinn U211-2Maardu Linnameeskond
Maardu Linnameeskond3-2FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U210-4Maardu Linnameeskond
Maardu Linnameeskond3-1FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U210-5Maardu Linnameeskond
Maardu Linnameeskond3-1FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maardu Linnameeskond 1552 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1520

	Maardu Linnameeskond	Draw	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Maardu Linnameeskond: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maardu Linnameeskond	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:44 +6’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maardu Linnameeskond 6–0–0 FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-2 HT 0-1	Maardu Linnameeskond
11/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Maardu Linnameeskond	3-2 HT 2-1	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
23/10/21 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-4 HT 0-4	Maardu Linnameeskond
03/07/21 Estonia Esiliiga	Maardu Linnameeskond	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
06/05/21 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-5 HT 0-3	Maardu Linnameeskond
03/10/20 Estonia Esiliiga	Maardu Linnameeskond	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	25	17	3	5	74	35	54
2	Viimsi JK	25	13	5	7	47	25	44
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	25	12	5	8	57	42	41
4	FC Elva	25	11	5	9	42	37	38
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	25	10	5	10	39	52	35
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	25	10	5	10	48	45	35
7	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	25	11	1	13	47	48	34
8	JK Nomme United II	25	7	6	12	43	56	27
9	FC Tallinn	25	6	7	12	31	54	25
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	25	5	4	16	33	67	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maardu Linnameeskond	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
JK Tallinna Kalev	3-1 W	3-2 W
FC Elva	0-1 L	2-2 D
FC Tallinn	1-0 W	2-1 W
Viimsi JK	1-2 L	0-5 L
JK Nomme Kalju II	4-1 W	2-0 W
FC Flora Tallinn II	3-1 W	4-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	1-8 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maardu Linnameeskond

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	8	5	W
20/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	8	9	L
15/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
08/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	4-1	6	2	W
18/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
13/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-4	1-8	3	3	L
09/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
03/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/06	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	3	7	W

FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
20/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
15/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	0-5	4	9	L
08/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
01/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-2	7	3	D
18/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
11/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	8	6	W
05/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
21/06	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
18/06	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maardu Linnameeskond win (43%). Probabilities: Maardu Linnameeskond 43%, draw 22%, FC Levadia Tallinn U21 35%.

How many goals are expected in Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Maardu Linnameeskond 2.11 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.