Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 21/08, 17:30

Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn II vs Viimsi JK

Team pages: FC Flora Tallinn II · Viimsi JK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

FC Flora Tallinn II1.29

Viimsi JK1.8

1X2

27% 24% 49%

FC Flora Tallinn II Draw Viimsi JK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Flora Tallinn II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLDWLWL

Viimsi JK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

FC Flora Tallinn II 1–2–3 Viimsi JK (6 last)

FC Flora Tallinn II0-4Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK2-1FC Flora Tallinn II
Viimsi JK2-0FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II1-0Viimsi JK
FC Flora Tallinn II0-0Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK1-1FC Flora Tallinn II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Flora Tallinn II 1475 · Viimsi JK 1568

	FC Flora Tallinn II	Draw	Viimsi JK
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1475 vs 1568).
H2H favours Viimsi JK: 3-2-1.
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Flora Tallinn II	Viimsi JK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	4.5 / 9.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:33 +16’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn II 1–2–3 Viimsi JK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	0-4 HT 0-2	Viimsi JK
06/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-1 HT 2-1	FC Flora Tallinn II
16/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Flora Tallinn II
31/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	1-0 HT 1-0	Viimsi JK
05/07/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	0-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
17/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Flora Tallinn II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	23	15	3	5	66	31	48
2	Viimsi JK	23	12	5	6	42	22	41
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	23	11	4	8	55	41	37
4	FC Elva	23	10	4	9	41	37	34
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	23	9	5	9	36	50	32
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	23	9	5	9	44	42	32
7	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	23	10	1	12	43	43	31
8	JK Nomme United II	23	7	5	11	41	51	26
9	FC Tallinn	23	6	6	11	29	51	24
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	23	5	4	14	31	60	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Flora Tallinn II	Viimsi JK
Tartu JK Welco	1-2 L	2-2 D
JK Nomme Kalju II	3-0 W	2-2 D
Maardu Linnameeskond	1-3 L	2-1 W
JK Nomme United II	1-1 D	3-0 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-4 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Flora Tallinn II

DLLDLDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
01/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
25/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
22/07	JK Trans Narva Estonia Cup	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
18/07	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-3	7	4	L
12/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-1	10	1	D
09/07	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
05/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	0-4	6	3	L
30/06	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	3-3	5	6	D

Viimsi JK

LDDLWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W
12/08	FC Helios Tartu Estonia Cup	1-0	4-1	17	2	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
23/07	JK Nomme United U19 Estonia Cup	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
11/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-2	23	1	D
02/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-2	6	8	D
22/06	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Viimsi JK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viimsi JK win (49%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn II 27%, draw 24%, Viimsi JK 49%.

How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Viimsi JK?

The model expects 3.09 goals (FC Flora Tallinn II 1.29 · Viimsi JK 1.8), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Viimsi JK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.