Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Viimsi JK vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Team pages: Viimsi JK · FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Viimsi JK1.96

FC Levadia Tallinn U211.33

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Viimsi JK Draw FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Levadia Tallinn U21 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Viimsi JK 5–1 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (6 last)

FC Levadia Tallinn U211-2Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK3-1FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Viimsi JK1-2FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U210-2Viimsi JK
FC Levadia Tallinn U210-3Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK2-0FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK 1560 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1546

	Viimsi JK	Draw	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viimsi JK: 5-0-1.
High corners: 15.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	2.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 9.1	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.76 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:56 +2’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:04	1.76	3.84	3.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK 5–0–1 FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-2 HT 1-2	Viimsi JK
07/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Viimsi JK	3-1 HT 0-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
27/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
25/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-2 HT 0-1	Viimsi JK
16/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-3 HT 0-1	Viimsi JK
03/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	22	14	3	5	64	30	45
2	Viimsi JK	22	11	5	6	37	22	38
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	22	11	4	7	54	39	37
4	FC Elva	22	10	4	8	41	36	34
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	22	10	1	11	43	38	31
6	Maardu Linnameeskond	22	8	5	9	35	50	29
7	JK Tallinna Kalev	22	8	5	9	43	42	29
8	FC Tallinn	22	6	6	10	29	50	24
9	JK Nomme United II	22	6	5	11	39	51	23
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	22	5	4	13	31	58	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
JK Tallinna Kalev	1-2 L	3-2 W
JK Nomme United II	3-0 W	2-1 W
FC Elva	1-3 L	2-2 D
JK Nomme Kalju II	2-2 D	2-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Viimsi JK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	FC Helios Tartu Estonia Cup	1-0	4-1	17	2	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
23/07	JK Nomme United U19 Estonia Cup	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
11/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-2	23	1	D
02/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-2	6	8	D
22/06	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
27/05	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	3-0	2	5	W

FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
01/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-2	7	3	D
18/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
11/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	8	6	W
05/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
21/06	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
18/06	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-3	8	4	L
31/05	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
28/05	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	9	3	L
25/05	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	4-2	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK win (52%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK 52%, draw 23%, FC Levadia Tallinn U21 25%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Viimsi JK 1.96 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.