Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 04/07, 14:00

Prediction: FC Tallinn vs JK Nomme United II

Expected goals: 3.72 (FC Tallinn 1.67 · JK Nomme United II 2.05). The model gives 32% home, 22% draw, 47% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, FC Tallinn is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and JK Nomme United II 1-3-6 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, FC Tallinn won 0 and JK Nomme United II 0, with 1 draw.

47%2
32% 22% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tallinn 1444 · JK Nomme United II 1435
FC TallinnDrawJK Nomme United II
Our model31%23%46%
Market32%21%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.72FC Tallinn 1.67 · JK Nomme United II 2.05
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC TallinnJK Nomme United II
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.11.7 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.71.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.14.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tallinn 010 JK Nomme United II

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Estonia Esiliiga
JK Nomme United II2-2
HT 0-1
FC Tallinn

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tartu JK Welco 181332 542342
2 Viimsi JK 17944 281431
3 FC Flora Tallinn II 15933 422730
4 FC Elva 17728 293023
5 JK Tallinna Kalev 17638 323321
6 JK Nomme United II 16547 313719
7 Maardu Linnameeskond 16547 203319
8 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 176011 303318
9 JK Nomme Kalju II 16529 264017
10 FC Tallinn 17359 214314

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC TallinnJK Nomme United II
FC Levadia Tallinn U21 0-4 L 2-4 L
FC Flora Tallinn II 1-3 L 3-3 D
Tartu JK Welco 0-4 L 2-5 L
JK Nomme Kalju II 3-1 W 1-4 L
Maardu Linnameeskond 0-0 D 1-2 L
JK Tallinna Kalev 1-1 D 1-2 L
FC Elva 0-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JK Nomme United II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tallinn

WLLDLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
0-3 0-4 43 L
18/06 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-1 1-3 05 L
13/06 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
0-1 0-4 53 L
01/06 JK Nomme Kalju II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 3-1 32 W
28/05 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 0-0 57 D
24/05 Viimsi JK
Estonia Esiliiga
0-2 0-2 38 L
14/05 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 1-1 45 D
07/05 FC Elva
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 0-2 85 L
01/05 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 0-2 23 L
27/04 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 4-2 37 W

JK Nomme United II

LDLDWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 3-3 26 D
21/06 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
1-3 2-5 63 L
18/06 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 1-2 25 L
15/06 JK Nomme Kalju II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-2 1-4 11 L
25/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 2-4 25 L
16/05 FC Elva
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 1-0 44 W
13/05 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 2-2 62 D
09/05 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 1-2 25 L
01/05 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
1-2 4-4 77 D
24/04 JK Nomme Kalju II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 0-3 58 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tallinn vs JK Nomme United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Nomme United II win (47%). Probabilities: FC Tallinn 32%, draw 22%, JK Nomme United II 47%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tallinn vs JK Nomme United II?

The model expects 3.72 goals (FC Tallinn 1.67 · JK Nomme United II 2.05), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tallinn vs JK Nomme United II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.