Prediction: JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva
Expected goals: 3.65 (JK Nomme Kalju II 1.72 · FC Elva 1.93). The model gives 34% home, 23% draw, 43% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves JK Nomme Kalju II with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; FC Elva has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for JK Nomme Kalju II and 3 for FC Elva, with 1 draw.
| JK Nomme Kalju II | Draw | FC Elva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Elva: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Nomme Kalju II | FC Elva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme Kalju II 2–1–3 FC Elva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 2-4 HT 1-3 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 04/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 0-1 HT 0-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 30/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Elva |
| 11/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 2-1 HT 0-1 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 08/03/25 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Elva |
| 15/09/18 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 3-2 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 23 |
| 5 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 21 |
| 6 | JK Nomme United II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 37 | 19 |
| 7 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 43 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Nomme Kalju II | FC Elva |
|---|---|---|
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 1-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-2 L | 4-3 W |
| JK Nomme United II | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Tallinn | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Tartu JK Welco | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Elva (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Nomme Kalju II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
FC Elva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | FC Jarva-Jaani Estonia Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Elva win (43%). Probabilities: JK Nomme Kalju II 34%, draw 23%, FC Elva 43%.
How many goals are expected in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva?
The model expects 3.65 goals (JK Nomme Kalju II 1.72 · FC Elva 1.93), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.