Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Expected goals: 4.32 (FC Flora Tallinn II 2.55 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.77). The model gives 54% home, 20% draw, 26% away. Over 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Flora Tallinn II sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while FC Levadia Tallinn U21 arrives on a 4-0-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Flora Tallinn II won 5 and FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.
| FC Flora Tallinn II | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn II (rating 1588 vs 1444).
- H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn II: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Flora Tallinn II | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.7 | 3.5 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn II 5–0–1 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1-3 HT 1-2 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 22/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 5-0 HT 2-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 18/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 08/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 02/03/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 26/01/25 World Club Friendlies | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 23 |
| 5 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 21 |
| 6 | JK Nomme United II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 37 | 19 |
| 7 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 43 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Flora Tallinn II | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme United II | 3-3 D | 4-2 W |
| FC Elva | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Tallinn | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Tartu JK Welco | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Viimsi JK | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Maardu Linnameeskond | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Flora Tallinn II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/06 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/04 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/04 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Flora Tallinn II win (54%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn II 54%, draw 20%, FC Levadia Tallinn U21 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?
The model expects 4.32 goals (FC Flora Tallinn II 2.55 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.77), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.