Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 03/08, 01:10
Prediction: Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Leones FC1.43
Barcelona Guayaquil0.69
1X2
Leones FC
Draw
Barcelona Guayaquil
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Leones FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Barcelona Guayaquil
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leones FC
0–1
Barcelona Guayaquil
(1 last)
- Barcelona Guayaquil2-1Leones FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones FC (rating 1552 vs 1496).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leones FC | Barcelona Guayaquil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones FC 0–0–1 Barcelona Guayaquil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Leones FC |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 20 | 52 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 35 |
| 4 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Macara | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 32 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | Leones FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Emelec | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 27 |
| 11 | Orense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Tecnico Universitario | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 26 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 23 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 27 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leones FC | Barcelona Guayaquil |
|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Guayaquil City | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| LDU Quito | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Atletico Libertad | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Tecnico Universitario | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Leones FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leones FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Huaquillas FC Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Barcelona Guayaquil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones FC win (54%). Probabilities: Leones FC 54%, draw 30%, Barcelona Guayaquil 17%.
How many goals are expected in Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Leones FC 1.43 · Barcelona Guayaquil 0.69), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.