Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 02/08, 22:30
Prediction: Macara vs Guayaquil City
Team pages: Macara · Guayaquil City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Macara1.61
Guayaquil City0.74
1X2
Macara
Draw
Guayaquil City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Macara
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Guayaquil City
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Macara
1–2–3
Guayaquil City
(6 last)
- Guayaquil City2-1Macara
- Guayaquil City0-0Macara
- Macara2-0Guayaquil City
- Macara0-2Guayaquil City
- Guayaquil City3-1Macara
- Macara1-1Guayaquil City
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macara (rating 1555 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Guayaquil City: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macara | Guayaquil City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macara 1–2–3 Guayaquil City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Macara |
| 07/08/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Macara |
| 20/03/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guayaquil City |
| 25/07/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Guayaquil City |
| 20/02/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Macara |
| 03/11/20 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guayaquil City |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Macara | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | SD Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 35 |
| 5 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 34 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 17 | 32 |
| 7 | Leones FC | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 31 |
| 8 | Emelec | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 27 |
| 11 | Tecnico Universitario | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 26 |
| 12 | Orense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 27 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macara | Guayaquil City |
|---|---|---|
| SD Aucas | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Delfin SC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Mushuc Runa | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Leones FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Macara (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Guayaquil City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Astillero FC Ecuador Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macara vs Guayaquil City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macara win (57%). Probabilities: Macara 57%, draw 27%, Guayaquil City 16%.
How many goals are expected in Macara vs Guayaquil City?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Macara 1.61 · Guayaquil City 0.74), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Macara vs Guayaquil City?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.