Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 27/07, 02:15

Prediction: Barcelona Guayaquil vs LDU Quito

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Barcelona Guayaquil1.24

LDU Quito0.92

1X2

42% 32% 26%

Barcelona Guayaquil Draw LDU Quito

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Barcelona Guayaquil 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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LDU Quito 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Barcelona Guayaquil 1–1–4 LDU Quito (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LDU Quito: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barcelona Guayaquil	LDU Quito
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.9 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.87

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.47 → 2.47	Pinn 2.47
X	3.05 → 3.05	Pinn 3.05
2	2.92 → 2.92	Pinn 2.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:41 +2’	2.47	3.05	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona Guayaquil 1–1–4 LDU Quito

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	LDU Quito	0-2 HT 0-1	Barcelona Guayaquil
23/11/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Barcelona Guayaquil	2-2 HT 1-1	LDU Quito
18/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	LDU Quito	3-0 HT 1-0	Barcelona Guayaquil
25/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Barcelona Guayaquil	0-1 HT 0-1	LDU Quito
19/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	LDU Quito	3-1 HT 2-1	Barcelona Guayaquil
01/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	LDU Quito	3-0 HT 2-0	Barcelona Guayaquil

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	21	17	1	3	52	20	52
2	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	21	10	5	6	33	19	35
3	SD Aucas	20	10	5	5	22	19	35
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	21	9	7	5	23	16	34
5	Macara	21	9	5	7	24	21	32
6	LDU Quito	21	8	5	8	20	17	29
7	Deportivo Cuenca	21	8	4	9	19	26	28
8	Leones FC	20	7	6	7	21	20	27
9	Emelec	20	7	6	7	17	23	27
10	Guayaquil City	20	7	5	8	18	22	26
11	Mushuc Runa	20	6	6	8	26	30	24
12	Club Atletico Libertad	21	6	6	9	19	26	24
13	Orense	20	6	5	9	23	28	23
14	Tecnico Universitario	21	7	2	12	19	24	23
15	Delfin SC	21	6	5	10	13	20	23
16	Manta FC	21	3	5	13	8	26	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barcelona Guayaquil	LDU Quito
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	1-2 L	0-1 L
Club Atletico Libertad	1-0 W	0-0 D
Deportivo Cuenca	2-0 W	1-1 D
Tecnico Universitario	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona Guayaquil (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Barcelona Guayaquil

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
19/07	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/07	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
13/07	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
02/06	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
29/05	Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
25/05	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
22/05	Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
17/05	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	3-0	1	5	W

LDU Quito

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
16/07	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
12/07	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
09/07	Independiente Juniors Ecuador Cup	1-1	1-1	8	4	D
05/07	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
02/07	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
27/05	Always Ready Copa Libertadores	1-2	3-2	4	3	W
24/05	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
21/05	Lanus Copa Libertadores	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
15/05	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	2-1	13	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barcelona Guayaquil vs LDU Quito?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barcelona Guayaquil win (42%). Probabilities: Barcelona Guayaquil 42%, draw 32%, LDU Quito 26%.

How many goals are expected in Barcelona Guayaquil vs LDU Quito?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Barcelona Guayaquil 1.24 · LDU Quito 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barcelona Guayaquil vs LDU Quito?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.