Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 28/07, 02:00
Prediction: Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Deportivo Cuenca1.12
Emelec1
1X2
Deportivo Cuenca
Draw
Emelec
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cuenca
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Emelec
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cuenca
3–1–2
Emelec
(6 last)
- Emelec0-2Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca5-1Emelec
- Emelec3-1Deportivo Cuenca
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Cuenca: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cuenca | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cuenca 3–1–2 Emelec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 20/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Emelec |
| 04/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 11/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 19/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Emelec |
| 05/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cuenca |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 20 | 52 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 35 |
| 4 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Macara | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 32 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | Leones FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Emelec | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 27 |
| 11 | Orense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
| 13 | Club Atletico Libertad | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 23 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 23 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 26 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cuenca | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Macara | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Barcelona Guayaquil | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Delfin SC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Emelec (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | CD La Union Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Copa Sudamericana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Emelec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-3 | 1-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 13/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Daquilema FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cuenca win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cuenca 37%, draw 32%, Emelec 31%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Deportivo Cuenca 1.12 · Emelec 1), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.