Prediction: Brisbane City (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Expected goals: 2.66 (Brisbane City (W) 1.59 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.07). The model gives 49% home, 26% draw, 25% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Brisbane City (W) with 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Brisbane City (W) won 1 and Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 2, with 3 draws.
| Brisbane City (W) | Draw | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane City (W) | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.5 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.4 | 2.3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane City (W) 1–3–2 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brisbane City (W) |
| 21/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Brisbane City (W) |
| 06/09/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Brisbane City (W) |
| 02/09/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane City (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
| 26/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Brisbane City (W) |
| 21/03/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane City (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 33 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | FQ QAS Women | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 58 | 19 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 19 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 68 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane City (W) | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United NPL (W) | 6-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Lions FC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FQ QAS Women | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Capalaba (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 6-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 24/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 19 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
5-0 | 8-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 31/03 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane City (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane City (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Brisbane City (W) 49%, draw 26%, Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane City (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Brisbane City (W) 1.59 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane City (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.