Prediction: Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Expected goals: 3.45 (Gold Coast Knights (W) 2.64 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 0.81). The model gives 76% home, 15% draw, 9% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Gold Coast Knights (W) with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Brisbane Olympic FC (W) has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gold Coast Knights (W) won 2 and Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 0, with 1 draw.
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | Draw | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| Market | 76% | 15% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Knights (W) (rating 1570 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Gold Coast Knights (W): 2-1-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 8.3 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Knights (W) 2–1–0 Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gold Coast Knights (W) |
| 13/04/23 Australia Queensland Cup Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 58 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Brisbane City (W) | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 27 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
| 8 | FQ QAS Women | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 61 | 19 |
| 9 | Capalaba (W) | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gold Coast Knights (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United NPL (W) | 13-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Capalaba (W) | 5-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Lions FC (W) | 2-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FQ QAS Women | 4-3 W | 3-4 L |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Brisbane City (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Knights (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gold Coast Knights (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
8-0 | 13-0 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast Knights (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Gold Coast Knights (W) 76%, draw 15%, Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Gold Coast Knights (W) 2.64 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 0.81), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.