Prediction: Brisbane City (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Expected goals: 3.05 (Brisbane City (W) 2.52 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 0.52). The model gives 82% home, 13% draw, 5% away. Under 3.5 goals (57%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Brisbane City (W) is 6-4-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Brisbane City (W) won 3 and Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 2, with 1 draw.
| Brisbane City (W) | Draw | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 83% | 12% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane City (W) (rating 1584 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Brisbane City (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane City (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.3 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane City (W) 3–1–2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Brisbane City (W) |
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane City (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 22/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane City (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 07/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Brisbane City (W) |
| 05/04/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane City (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 20/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Brisbane City (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 58 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Brisbane City (W) | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 27 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
| 8 | FQ QAS Women | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 61 | 19 |
| 9 | Capalaba (W) | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane City (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Souths United NPL (W) | 6-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Lions FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FQ QAS Women | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane City (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 6-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 24/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 19 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
5-0 | 8-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane City (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane City (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Brisbane City (W) 82%, draw 13%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane City (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Brisbane City (W) 2.52 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 0.52), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane City (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.