Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 07/08, 11:30

Prediction: Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Team pages: Gold Coast Knights (W) · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Gold Coast Knights (W)1.45

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1.33

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Gold Coast Knights (W) Draw Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gold Coast Knights (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWWLWW

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Gold Coast Knights (W) 2–2–1 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (5 last)

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1-0Gold Coast Knights (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)2-3Gold Coast Knights (W)
Gold Coast Knights (W)1-1Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)3-3Gold Coast Knights (W)
Gold Coast Knights (W)2-1Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gold Coast Knights (W) 1580 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1527

	Gold Coast Knights (W)	Draw	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Knights (W) (rating 1580 vs 1527).
H2H favours Gold Coast Knights (W): 2-2-1.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gold Coast Knights (W)	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 0.6	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.3	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 8.3	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0.1	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +3’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Knights (W) 2–2–1 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Gold Coast Knights (W)
07/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Gold Coast Knights (W)
29/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast Knights (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
10/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	3-3 HT 2-2	Gold Coast Knights (W)
28/02/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast Knights (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	25	18	4	3	71	19	58
2	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	25	16	4	5	48	20	52
3	Lions FC (W)	24	16	3	5	61	22	51
4	Brisbane City (W)	25	14	7	4	54	18	49
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	25	10	7	8	31	31	37
6	Gold Coast United (W)	24	8	8	8	36	35	32
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	25	9	2	14	34	38	29
8	Capalaba (W)	25	8	1	16	32	56	25
9	FQ QAS Women	25	6	1	18	44	75	19
10	Souths United NPL (W)	25	0	1	24	15	112	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gold Coast Knights (W)	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Brisbane City (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Gold Coast United (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Lions FC (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
FQ QAS Women	6-0 W	3-0 W
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Capalaba (W)	5-1 W	5-0 W
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Knights (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gold Coast Knights (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
01/08	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
29/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
25/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	3-0	19	3	W
17/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	6-0	4	1	W
11/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
08/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	8-0	13-0	16	1	W
04/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	5-1	8	0	W
30/06	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
27/06	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	11	2	D

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
25/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
14/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
11/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-3	4	2	L
05/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
30/06	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
20/06	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
06/06	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
30/05	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-2	4-2	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast Knights (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Gold Coast Knights (W) 39%, draw 27%, Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Gold Coast Knights (W) 1.45 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.