Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 07/08, 11:30
Prediction: Lions FC (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Team pages: Lions FC (W) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Lions FC (W)2.45
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)1.05
1X2
Lions FC (W)
Draw
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lions FC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lions FC (W)
3–3
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
(6 last)
- Lions FC (W)3-1Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)1-2Lions FC (W)
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)2-0Lions FC (W)
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0-6Lions FC (W)
- Lions FC (W)0-1Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
- Lions FC (W)0-1Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lions FC (W) 1605 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1496
| Lions FC (W) | Draw | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lions FC (W) (rating 1605 vs 1496).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lions FC (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lions FC (W) 3–0–3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 18/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Lions FC (W) |
| 05/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lions FC (W) |
| 26/04/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Lions FC (W) |
| 16/02/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 11/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Lions FC (W) | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 61 | 22 | 51 |
| 4 | Brisbane City (W) | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 37 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 38 | 29 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 56 | 25 |
| 9 | FQ QAS Women | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 75 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 25 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | 112 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lions FC (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United NPL (W) | 6-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Capalaba (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Brisbane City (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lions FC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lions FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lions FC (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lions FC (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Lions FC (W) 67%, draw 19%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Lions FC (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Lions FC (W) 2.45 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lions FC (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.