Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 15/08, 10:30

Prediction: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Capalaba (W)

Team pages: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) · Capalaba (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Brisbane Olympic FC (W)2.07

Capalaba (W)1.06

1X2

60% 23% 18%

Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Draw Capalaba (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWDLWW

Capalaba (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 2–2–2 Capalaba (W) (6 last)

Capalaba (W)1-4Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)0-1Capalaba (W)
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)0-0Capalaba (W)
Capalaba (W)2-0Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)3-1Capalaba (W)
Capalaba (W)3-3Brisbane Olympic FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1515 · Capalaba (W) 1454

	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	Draw	Capalaba (W)
Our model	60%	23%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane Olympic FC (W) (rating 1515 vs 1454).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	Capalaba (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.6	1.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0.1	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:32 +4’	1.50	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 2–2–2 Capalaba (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Capalaba (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
14/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Capalaba (W)
09/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	0-0	Capalaba (W)
07/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women	Capalaba (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
06/08/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Capalaba (W)
28/05/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Capalaba (W)	3-3 HT 3-0	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	26	18	4	4	71	21	58
2	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	26	17	4	5	50	20	55
3	Lions FC (W)	25	17	3	5	63	22	54
4	Brisbane City (W)	26	14	7	5	56	21	49
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	26	11	7	8	37	31	40
6	Gold Coast United (W)	25	9	8	8	38	35	35
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	26	9	2	15	34	40	29
8	Capalaba (W)	26	8	1	17	32	58	25
9	FQ QAS Women	26	7	1	18	47	77	22
10	Souths United NPL (W)	26	0	1	25	15	118	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	Capalaba (W)
Souths United NPL (W)	6-0 W	6-0 W
FQ QAS Women	2-1 W	3-0 W
Brisbane City (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Gold Coast United (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	1-0 W	0-5 L
Gold Coast Knights (W)	1-1 D	1-5 L
Lions FC (W)	0-5 L	1-3 L
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Olympic FC (W)

LDWLDWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	6-0	5	0	W
01/08	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
24/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
18/07	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
14/07	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	1-0	2	0	W
11/07	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
04/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-5	1	0	L
30/06	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
24/06	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
20/06	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	1-3	0	2	L

Capalaba (W)

LDWLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
01/08	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
24/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
19/07	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
14/07	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	4-0	6-0	5	1	W
04/07	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	1-5	0	0	L
30/06	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	3-0	6	1	W
23/06	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
20/06	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	0-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Capalaba (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Olympic FC (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 60%, draw 23%, Capalaba (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Capalaba (W)?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 2.07 · Capalaba (W) 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Olympic FC (W) vs Capalaba (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.