Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 15/08, 10:30

Prediction: Gold Coast United (W) vs Brisbane City (W)

Team pages: Gold Coast United (W) · Brisbane City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Gold Coast United (W)0.79

Brisbane City (W)1.67

1X2

17% 25% 58%

Gold Coast United (W) Draw Brisbane City (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gold Coast United (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDDLLW

Brisbane City (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Gold Coast United (W) 0–2–4 Brisbane City (W) (6 last)

Gold Coast United (W)1-1Brisbane City (W)
Brisbane City (W)1-1Gold Coast United (W)
Gold Coast United (W)0-1Brisbane City (W)
Brisbane City (W)2-0Gold Coast United (W)
Gold Coast United (W)0-4Brisbane City (W)
Gold Coast United (W)0-3Brisbane City (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gold Coast United (W) 1485 · Brisbane City (W) 1509

	Gold Coast United (W)	Draw	Brisbane City (W)
Our model	17%	26%	57%
Market	18%	24%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Brisbane City (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gold Coast United (W)	Brisbane City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.7	3.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.00

X3.80

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:34 +1’	5.00	3.80	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast United (W) 0–2–4 Brisbane City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/07/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast United (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Brisbane City (W)
18/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Brisbane City (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Gold Coast United (W)
17/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast United (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Brisbane City (W)
15/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Brisbane City (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Gold Coast United (W)
14/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast United (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Brisbane City (W)
07/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast United (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Brisbane City (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	26	18	4	4	71	21	58
2	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	26	17	4	5	50	20	55
3	Lions FC (W)	25	17	3	5	63	22	54
4	Brisbane City (W)	26	14	7	5	56	21	49
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	26	11	7	8	37	31	40
6	Gold Coast United (W)	25	9	8	8	38	35	35
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	26	9	2	15	34	40	29
8	Capalaba (W)	26	8	1	17	32	58	25
9	FQ QAS Women	26	7	1	18	47	77	22
10	Souths United NPL (W)	26	0	1	25	15	118	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gold Coast United (W)	Brisbane City (W)
Capalaba (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
Gold Coast Knights (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
FQ QAS Women	3-2 W	2-3 L
Souths United NPL (W)	12-0 W	6-0 W
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gold Coast United (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gold Coast United (W)

WDDWWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
04/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
01/08	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
18/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
14/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
11/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	3-2	6	1	W
04/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	7-0	12-0	10	2	W
30/06	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
24/06	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
21/06	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W

Brisbane City (W)

DWWWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-1	2-3	9	0	L
04/08	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
01/08	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
24/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
18/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
14/07	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
11/07	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
05/07	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
30/06	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	6-0	11	0	W
24/06	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	10	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gold Coast United (W) vs Brisbane City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brisbane City (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Gold Coast United (W) 17%, draw 25%, Brisbane City (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Gold Coast United (W) vs Brisbane City (W)?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Gold Coast United (W) 0.79 · Brisbane City (W) 1.67), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast United (W) vs Brisbane City (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.