Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 15/08, 10:30
Prediction: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Gold Coast Knights (W)
Team pages: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) · Gold Coast Knights (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0.82
Gold Coast Knights (W)2.1
1X2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Draw
Gold Coast Knights (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Gold Coast Knights (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
0–1–4
Gold Coast Knights (W)
(5 last)
- Gold Coast Knights (W)1-1Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0-3Gold Coast Knights (W)
- Gold Coast Knights (W)5-0Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
- Gold Coast Knights (W)1-0Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)1-3Gold Coast Knights (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1501 · Gold Coast Knights (W) 1567
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Draw | Gold Coast Knights (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| Market | 14% | 19% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Knights (W) (rating 1501 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Gold Coast Knights (W): 4-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Gold Coast Knights (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 3.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 3.3 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 0–1–4 Gold Coast Knights (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 15/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Gold Coast Knights (W) |
| 09/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 05/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 22/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Gold Coast Knights (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | Lions FC (W) | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 63 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Brisbane City (W) | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 40 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 35 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 40 | 29 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 58 | 25 |
| 9 | FQ QAS Women | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 77 | 22 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 118 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Gold Coast Knights (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lions FC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Souths United NPL (W) | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Capalaba (W) | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Brisbane City (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FQ QAS Women | 3-2 W | 6-0 W |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Knights (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/08 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
Gold Coast Knights (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 04/08 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 19 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 08/07 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
8-0 | 13-0 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Gold Coast Knights (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gold Coast Knights (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 13%, draw 20%, Gold Coast Knights (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Gold Coast Knights (W)?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 0.82 · Gold Coast Knights (W) 2.1), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Gold Coast Knights (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.