Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 14/08, 12:30
Prediction: Virginia United SC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)
Team pages: Virginia United SC (W) · Palm Beach SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Virginia United SC (W)1.3
Palm Beach SC (W)1.64
1X2
Virginia United SC (W)
Draw
Palm Beach SC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Virginia United SC (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Palm Beach SC (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Virginia United SC (W)
0–1–0
Palm Beach SC (W)
(1 last)
- Palm Beach SC (W)0-0Virginia United SC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virginia United SC (W) 1438 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1484
| Virginia United SC (W) | Draw | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 23% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palm Beach SC (W) (rating 1438 vs 1484).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia United SC (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.3 / 0 | 1.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia United SC (W) 0–1–0 Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Palm Beach SC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Virginia United SC (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Lakes United (W) | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Caboolture FC (W) | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 40 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 28 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 27 |
| 5 | Peninsula Power (W) | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 23 |
| 6 | Grange Thistle (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 21 |
| 7 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 17 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning (W) | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 52 | 15 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia United SC (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| The Gap NPL (W) | 1-5 L | 3-5 L |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| North Lakes United (W) | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Palm Beach SC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia United SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia United SC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palm Beach SC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Virginia United SC (W) 30%, draw 25%, Palm Beach SC (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Virginia United SC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Virginia United SC (W) 1.3 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.64), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Virginia United SC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.