Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 14/08, 12:30
Prediction: North Lakes United (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)
Team pages: North Lakes United (W) · Peninsula Power (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.56Total
North Lakes United (W)3.28
Peninsula Power (W)1.28
1X2
North Lakes United (W)
Draw
Peninsula Power (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
North Lakes United (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Peninsula Power (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
North Lakes United (W)
1–1
Peninsula Power (W)
(2 last)
- Peninsula Power (W)1-0North Lakes United (W)
- North Lakes United (W)11-1Peninsula Power (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · North Lakes United (W) 1613 · Peninsula Power (W) 1496
| North Lakes United (W) | Draw | Peninsula Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 87% | 8% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.56 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Lakes United (W) (rating 1613 vs 1496).
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Lakes United (W) | Peninsula Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 7.6 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Lakes United (W) 1–0–1 Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | North Lakes United (W) |
| 17/04/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series Women | North Lakes United (W) | 11-1 HT 5-1 | Peninsula Power (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Lakes United (W) | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Caboolture FC (W) | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 40 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 28 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 27 |
| 5 | Peninsula Power (W) | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 23 |
| 6 | Grange Thistle (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 21 |
| 7 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 17 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning (W) | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 52 | 15 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Lakes United (W) | Peninsula Power (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 8-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| The Gap NPL (W) | 6-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 6-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: North Lakes United (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Lakes United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
5-0 | 8-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 6-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Lakes United (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a North Lakes United (W) win (82%). Probabilities: North Lakes United (W) 82%, draw 11%, Peninsula Power (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in North Lakes United (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
The model expects 4.56 goals (North Lakes United (W) 3.28 · Peninsula Power (W) 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in North Lakes United (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.