Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 08/08, 09:00
Prediction: Virginia United SC (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)
Team pages: Virginia United SC (W) · The Gap NPL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Virginia United SC (W)1.45
The Gap NPL (W)2.3
1X2
Virginia United SC (W)
Draw
The Gap NPL (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Virginia United SC (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
The Gap NPL (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Virginia United SC (W)
4–2–0
The Gap NPL (W)
(6 last)
- The Gap NPL (W)0-1Virginia United SC (W)
- The Gap NPL (W)0-2Virginia United SC (W)
- Virginia United SC (W)1-1The Gap NPL (W)
- The Gap NPL (W)0-2Virginia United SC (W)
- Virginia United SC (W)0-0The Gap NPL (W)
- The Gap NPL (W)2-3Virginia United SC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virginia United SC (W) 1445 · The Gap NPL (W) 1513
| Virginia United SC (W) | Draw | The Gap NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Gap NPL (W) (rating 1445 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Virginia United SC (W): 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia United SC (W) | The Gap NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 2.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.3 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia United SC (W) 4–2–0 The Gap NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Virginia United SC (W) |
| 20/08/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Virginia United SC (W) |
| 25/06/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Virginia United SC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | The Gap NPL (W) |
| 29/04/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Virginia United SC (W) |
| 16/10/21 Australia FQPL Women | Virginia United SC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | The Gap NPL (W) |
| 30/04/21 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Virginia United SC (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Lakes United (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Caboolture FC (W) | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 25 | 27 |
| 4 | The Gap NPL (W) | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 44 | 25 |
| 5 | Grange Thistle (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 21 |
| 6 | Peninsula Power (W) | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 20 |
| 7 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 17 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning (W) | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 49 | 15 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia United SC (W) | The Gap NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 1-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 0-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| North Lakes United (W) | 0-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 0-0 D | 5-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: The Gap NPL (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia United SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
The Gap NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia United SC (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an The Gap NPL (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Virginia United SC (W) 23%, draw 22%, The Gap NPL (W) 56%.
How many goals are expected in Virginia United SC (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Virginia United SC (W) 1.45 · The Gap NPL (W) 2.3), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Virginia United SC (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.