Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 08/08, 09:00
Prediction: Grange Thistle (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)
Team pages: Grange Thistle (W) · Palm Beach SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Grange Thistle (W)2.14
Palm Beach SC (W)1.55
1X2
Grange Thistle (W)
Draw
Palm Beach SC (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grange Thistle (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Palm Beach SC (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grange Thistle (W)
0–1
Palm Beach SC (W)
(1 last)
- Palm Beach SC (W)3-0Grange Thistle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grange Thistle (W) 1551 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1454
| Grange Thistle (W) | Draw | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grange Thistle (W) (rating 1551 vs 1454).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grange Thistle (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grange Thistle (W) 0–0–1 Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Palm Beach SC (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Grange Thistle (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Lakes United (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Caboolture FC (W) | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 25 | 27 |
| 4 | The Gap NPL (W) | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 44 | 25 |
| 5 | Grange Thistle (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 21 |
| 6 | Peninsula Power (W) | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 20 |
| 7 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 17 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning (W) | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 49 | 15 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grange Thistle (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| The Gap NPL (W) | 3-0 W | 3-5 L |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| North Lakes United (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Grange Thistle (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grange Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grange Thistle (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grange Thistle (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Grange Thistle (W) 50%, draw 23%, Palm Beach SC (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Grange Thistle (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Grange Thistle (W) 2.14 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Grange Thistle (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.