Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 17/07, 12:30
Prediction: Caboolture FC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
Caboolture FC (W)3.06
Peninsula Power (W)1.06
1X2
Caboolture FC (W)
Draw
Peninsula Power (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Caboolture FC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Peninsula Power (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caboolture FC (W)
3–0
Peninsula Power (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caboolture FC (W) 1604 · Peninsula Power (W) 1476
| Caboolture FC (W) | Draw | Peninsula Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caboolture FC (W) (rating 1604 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Caboolture FC (W): 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caboolture FC (W) | Peninsula Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.5 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7 | 2.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caboolture FC (W) 3–0–0 Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Caboolture FC (W) |
| 09/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Caboolture FC (W) |
| 09/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Caboolture FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Peninsula Power (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 33 | 22 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 18 |
| 5 | Peninsula Power (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 17 |
| 6 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 15 |
| 7 | Logan Lightning (W) | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 15 |
| 8 | Grange Thistle (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 29 | 14 |
| 9 | Virginia United SC (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 14 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caboolture FC (W) | Peninsula Power (W) |
|---|---|---|
| North Lakes United (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 5-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| The Gap NPL (W) | 2-1 W | 3-5 L |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 7-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Caboolture FC (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caboolture FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
5-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-5 | 1-11 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caboolture FC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caboolture FC (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Caboolture FC (W) 77%, draw 13%, Peninsula Power (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Caboolture FC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
The model expects 4.13 goals (Caboolture FC (W) 3.06 · Peninsula Power (W) 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Caboolture FC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.