Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 24/07, 12:30
Prediction: Peninsula Power (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
Peninsula Power (W)2
The Gap NPL (W)2.33
1X2
Peninsula Power (W)
Draw
The Gap NPL (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Peninsula Power (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
The Gap NPL (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peninsula Power (W)
3–1–2
The Gap NPL (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peninsula Power (W) 1488 · The Gap NPL (W) 1516
| Peninsula Power (W) | Draw | The Gap NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Peninsula Power (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peninsula Power (W) | The Gap NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.6 | 2.8 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peninsula Power (W) 3–1–2 The Gap NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 5-3 HT 2-1 | Peninsula Power (W) |
| 13/08/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | The Gap NPL (W) |
| 22/04/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | The Gap NPL (W) |
| 25/09/21 Australia FQPL Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | The Gap NPL (W) |
| 28/03/21 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Peninsula Power (W) |
| 03/09/17 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | The Gap NPL (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 39 | 22 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 18 |
| 6 | Grange Thistle (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 29 | 17 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 17 |
| 8 | Logan Lightning (W) | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 15 |
| 9 | Virginia United SC (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peninsula Power (W) | The Gap NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Caboolture FC (W) | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 2-4 L | 4-2 W |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| North Lakes United (W) | 1-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 2-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 3-2 W | 5-3 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: The Gap NPL (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
The Gap NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peninsula Power (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an The Gap NPL (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Peninsula Power (W) 33%, draw 22%, The Gap NPL (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Peninsula Power (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
The model expects 4.33 goals (Peninsula Power (W) 2 · The Gap NPL (W) 2.33), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Peninsula Power (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.