Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 25/07, 10:00
Prediction: North Lakes United (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.16Total
North Lakes United (W)3.08
Palm Beach SC (W)1.08
1X2
North Lakes United (W)
Draw
Palm Beach SC (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
North Lakes United (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Palm Beach SC (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
North Lakes United (W)
1–0
Palm Beach SC (W)
(1 last)
- Palm Beach SC (W)0-2North Lakes United (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · North Lakes United (W) 1599 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1460
| North Lakes United (W) | Draw | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 90% | 6% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.16 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Lakes United (W) (rating 1599 vs 1460).
- High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Lakes United (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 7.8 | 3.3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Lakes United (W) 1–0–0 Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Palm Beach SC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | North Lakes United (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 39 | 22 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 18 |
| 6 | Grange Thistle (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 29 | 17 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 17 |
| 8 | Logan Lightning (W) | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 15 |
| 9 | Virginia United SC (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Lakes United (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| The Gap NPL (W) | 6-1 W | 3-5 L |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 6-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: North Lakes United (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Lakes United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 6-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Lakes United (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a North Lakes United (W) win (84%). Probabilities: North Lakes United (W) 84%, draw 10%, Palm Beach SC (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in North Lakes United (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model expects 4.16 goals (North Lakes United (W) 3.08 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in North Lakes United (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.