Prediction: The Gap NPL (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)

Expected goals: 3.75 (The Gap NPL (W) 2.03 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.72). The model gives 45% home, 23% draw, 33% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, The Gap NPL (W) sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Palm Beach SC (W) arrives on a 3-4-3 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, The Gap NPL (W) won 0 and Palm Beach SC (W) 1.

45%1
45% 23% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Gap NPL (W) 1488 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1490
The Gap NPL (W)DrawPalm Beach SC (W)
Our model45%23%32%
Market45%22%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.75The Gap NPL (W) 2.03 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.72
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

The Gap NPL (W)Palm Beach SC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 2.71.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 1.40.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 4.92.8 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 00.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · The Gap NPL (W) 001 Palm Beach SC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
Palm Beach SC (W)1-0
HT 0-0
The Gap NPL (W)

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Caboolture FC (W) 11821 311026
2 North Lakes United (W) 10811 32625
3 The Gap NPL (W) 11515 282816
4 Palm Beach SC (W) 11434 181815
5 Logan Lightning (W) 10505 182815
6 Virginia United SC (W) 11425 91814
7 Mitchelton FC (W) 11335 232012
8 Peninsula Power (W) 11326 193111
9 Grange Thistle (W) 9225 15248
10 Moreton City Excelsior (W) 11146 14247

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThe Gap NPL (W)Palm Beach SC (W)
Mitchelton FC (W) 4-3 W 0-0 D
Caboolture FC (W) 1-2 L 1-1 D
Virginia United SC (W) 0-1 L 0-0 D
Moreton City Excelsior (W) 3-2 W 1-1 D
Grange Thistle (W) 4-2 W 3-0 W
Peninsula Power (W) 5-3 W 2-3 L
North Lakes United (W) 2-5 L 0-2 L
Logan Lightning (W) 3-4 L 3-4 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Palm Beach SC (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Gap NPL (W)

LLLLWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/06 Mitchelton FC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
3-2 4-3 73 W
13/06 Caboolture FC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-1 1-2 22 L
07/06 Virginia United SC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-1 0-1 80 L
31/05 Moreton City Excelsior (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
3-1 3-2 11 W
10/05 Grange Thistle (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
2-1 4-2 51 W
06/05 Peninsula Power (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
2-1 5-3 62 W
25/04 North Lakes United (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
1-0 2-5 L
18/04 Caboolture FC (W)
Australia Queensland Pro Series Women
1-3 3-4 L
11/04 Logan Lightning (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
1-4 3-4 41 L
28/03 Palm Beach SC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 60 L

Palm Beach SC (W)

WWDLLWLDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Caboolture FC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-1 1-1 23 D
13/06 Moreton City Excelsior (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-0 1-1 71 D
31/05 Virginia United SC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-0 0-0 D
26/05 Logan Lightning (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-4 3-4 120 L
23/05 Grange Thistle (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 60 W
09/05 Peninsula Power (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
1-2 2-3 60 L
03/05 North Lakes United (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-1 0-2 L
19/04 Mitchelton FC (W)
Australia Queensland Pro Series Women
0-0 0-0 D
11/04 Mitchelton FC (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
2-0 3-1 W
28/03 The Gap NPL (W)
Australia Queensland Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 70 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Gap NPL (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a The Gap NPL (W) win (45%). Probabilities: The Gap NPL (W) 45%, draw 23%, Palm Beach SC (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in The Gap NPL (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?

The model expects 3.75 goals (The Gap NPL (W) 2.03 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in The Gap NPL (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.