Prediction: Grange Thistle (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)
Expected goals: 3.74 (Grange Thistle (W) 1.59 · Mitchelton FC (W) 2.15). The model gives 28% home, 22% draw, 50% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Grange Thistle (W) sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Mitchelton FC (W) arrives on a 2-3-5 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Grange Thistle (W) and 0 for Mitchelton FC (W), with 1 draw.
| Grange Thistle (W) | Draw | Mitchelton FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grange Thistle (W) | Mitchelton FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 0.9 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grange Thistle (W) 0–1–0 Mitchelton FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Mitchelton FC (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Grange Thistle (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 16 |
| 4 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
| 5 | Logan Lightning (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 15 |
| 6 | Virginia United SC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 14 |
| 7 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 12 |
| 8 | Peninsula Power (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
| 9 | Grange Thistle (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 8 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grange Thistle (W) | Mitchelton FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Peninsula Power (W) | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| The Gap NPL (W) | 2-4 L | 3-4 L |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-7 L | 0-1 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| North Lakes United (W) | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mitchelton FC (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grange Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 06/03 | Ipswich Knights Women Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Mitchelton FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grange Thistle (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mitchelton FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Grange Thistle (W) 28%, draw 22%, Mitchelton FC (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Grange Thistle (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Grange Thistle (W) 1.59 · Mitchelton FC (W) 2.15), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Grange Thistle (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.