Football · Finland Ykkonen · 22/07, 18:00

Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa vs VJS Vantaa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
PK Keski-Uusimaa1.73
VJS Vantaa1.97
1X2
33% 24% 43%
PK Keski-Uusimaa Draw VJS Vantaa
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
PK Keski-Uusimaa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWWDWLWD
VJS Vantaa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDDLWDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1541 · VJS Vantaa 1501
PK Keski-UusimaaDrawVJS Vantaa
Our model34%23%43%
Market33%24%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (rating 1541 vs 1501).
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PK Keski-UusimaaVJS Vantaa
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.22.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.61.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.24 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.33.6 / 0.2

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 151113 29934
2 RoPS 15852 311629
3 SalPa 15753 312526
4 JJK 16745 402925
5 OLS 16655 302323
6 PK Keski-Uusimaa 14644 271922
7 VJS Vantaa 14554 251920
8 FC Jazz 15627 182317
9 TPV 15447 192516
10 FC Inter II 15438 264115
11 KUPS Akatemia 152310 25379
12 KPV 152310 13489

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPK Keski-UusimaaVJS Vantaa
OLS 1-1 D 4-3 W
FC Jazz 2-1 W 1-1 D
RoPS 3-4 L 0-2 L
KPV 3-1 W 5-0 W
TPV 2-2 D 2-1 W
JJK 3-1 W 2-2 D
Tampere Utd 0-0 D 0-1 L
SalPa 2-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK Keski-Uusimaa

WDLWWDWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-1 43 D
11/07 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 2-1 37 W
05/07 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 3-4 67 L
28/06 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 3-1 115 W
14/06 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 2-2 48 D
06/06 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 3-1 65 W
29/05 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-0 94 W
24/05 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 65 L
09/05 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-0 24 D
02/05 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-0 16 W

VJS Vantaa

WWLDDLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 113 L
11/07 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 4-3 83 W
04/07 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 2-2 95 D
29/06 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-1 91 W
13/06 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-2 183 L
06/06 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-1 121 D
02/06 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
2-1 2-2 35 D
26/05 FC Honka
Finland Cup
0-2 1-5 37 L
23/05 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
4-0 5-0 66 W
13/05 FF Jaro
Finland Cup
2-0 5-3 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs VJS Vantaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VJS Vantaa win (43%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa 33%, draw 24%, VJS Vantaa 43%.

How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs VJS Vantaa?

The model expects 3.71 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.73 · VJS Vantaa 1.97), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs VJS Vantaa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.