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Football · Finland Ykkonen · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: OLS vs KPV

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.17Total
OLS3.08
KPV1.08
1X2
77% 14% 9%
OLS Draw KPV
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
OLS 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLLDWLDLLD
KPV 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLWLD
Head-to-head
OLS 3–2–1 KPV (6 last)
  • KPV0-4OLS
  • OLS3-0KPV
  • OLS1-1KPV
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OLS 1481 · KPV 1398
OLSDrawKPV
Our model76%14%9%
Market78%13%9%
Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OLS (rating 1481 vs 1398).
  • H2H favours OLS: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OLSKPV
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.91.1 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.21.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.22.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 3–2–1 KPV

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Finland Ykkonen
KPV0-4
HT 0-1
OLS
28/09/25
Finland Ykkonen
OLS3-0
HT 2-0
KPV
02/07/25
Finland Ykkonen
OLS1-1
HT 0-1
KPV
12/04/25
Finland Ykkonen
KPV2-2
HT 1-1
OLS
20/09/24
Finland Ykkonen
OLS0-3
HT 0-1
KPV
11/08/24
Finland Ykkonen
OLS2-1
HT 1-0
KPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 151113 29934
2 RoPS 15852 311629
3 SalPa 15753 312526
4 JJK 16745 402925
5 VJS Vantaa 15654 282023
6 OLS 16655 302323
7 PK Keski-Uusimaa 15645 282222
8 FC Jazz 15627 182317
9 TPV 15447 192516
10 FC Inter II 15438 264115
11 KUPS Akatemia 152310 25379
12 KPV 152310 13489

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOLSKPV
PK Keski-Uusimaa 1-1 D 1-3 L
VJS Vantaa 3-4 L 0-5 L
FC Inter II 1-3 L 4-2 W
KUPS Akatemia 2-2 D 1-4 L
Tampere Utd 0-3 L 0-6 L
RoPS 1-1 D 1-1 D
JJK 0-1 L 2-3 L
FC Jazz 1-2 L 1-0 W
TPV 2-2 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: OLS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OLS

DLLDWLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-1 53 D
11/07 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
 1-1 3-4 13 L
04/07 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
 0-1 1-3 35 L
28/06 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
 2-1 2-2 104 D
11/06 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
 0-2 0-3 70 L
06/06 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
 2-0 5-0 54 W
02/06 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-1 –– D
28/05 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
 0-0 0-1 46 L
24/05 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-2 44 L
16/05 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
 1-1 2-2 85 D

KPV

LLLWLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/07 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-1 71 D
11/07 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
 0-2 1-3 53 L
02/07 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
 0-0 1-0 32 W
28/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
 0-0 1-3 25 L
13/06 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
 0-2 2-3 41 L
05/06 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
 1-1 1-4 44 L
29/05 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
 1-1 4-2 76 W
23/05 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
 0-4 0-5 26 L
16/05 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
 0-2 0-6 20 L
13/05 SJK II
Finland Cup
 0-0 0-2 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OLS vs KPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OLS win (77%). Probabilities: OLS 77%, draw 14%, KPV 9%.

How many goals are expected in OLS vs KPV?

The model expects 4.17 goals (OLS 3.08 · KPV 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in OLS vs KPV?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.