Football · Finland Ykkonen · 31/07, 17:30

Prediction: FC Inter II vs VJS Vantaa

Team pages: FC Inter II · VJS Vantaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.24Total

FC Inter II1.67

VJS Vantaa2.57

1X2

23% 20% 56%

FC Inter II Draw VJS Vantaa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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VJS Vantaa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Inter II 1–1–2 VJS Vantaa (4 last)

VJS Vantaa3-2FC Inter II
FC Inter II2-2VJS Vantaa
VJS Vantaa3-2FC Inter II
FC Inter II4-3VJS Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter II 1472 · VJS Vantaa 1520

	FC Inter II	Draw	VJS Vantaa
Our model	24%	20%	57%
Market	23%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.24 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VJS Vantaa (rating 1472 vs 1520).
H2H favours VJS Vantaa: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter II	VJS Vantaa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.7	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.4	4.1 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.33

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +6’	3.90	4.33	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter II 1–1–2 VJS Vantaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	VJS Vantaa	3-2 HT 2-0	FC Inter II
07/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Inter II	2-2 HT 0-1	VJS Vantaa
19/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	VJS Vantaa	3-2 HT 0-2	FC Inter II
13/04/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Inter II	4-3 HT 2-1	VJS Vantaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	16	11	2	3	31	11	35
2	RoPS	16	9	5	2	35	16	32
3	OLS	17	7	5	5	32	24	26
4	SalPa	16	7	5	4	31	26	26
5	JJK	17	7	4	6	40	33	25
6	PK Keski-Uusimaa	16	7	4	5	29	22	25
7	VJS Vantaa	16	6	6	4	30	22	24
8	FC Jazz	16	7	2	7	22	23	20
9	TPV	16	4	4	8	19	29	16
10	FC Inter II	16	4	4	8	28	43	16
11	KUPS Akatemia	16	2	4	10	27	39	10
12	KPV	16	2	3	11	14	50	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter II	VJS Vantaa
Tampere Utd	2-2 D	0-1 L
SalPa	1-2 L	2-2 D
RoPS	0-2 L	0-2 L
OLS	3-1 W	4-3 W
JJK	1-11 L	2-2 D
FC Jazz	1-1 D	1-1 D
TPV	1-1 D	2-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	2-1 W	3-1 W
KUPS Akatemia	4-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VJS Vantaa (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Inter II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	7	1	D
18/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
10/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
04/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-6	1-11	0	8	L
12/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
29/05	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-4	2	6	L
24/05	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
17/05	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-2	2	3	W

VJS Vantaa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
22/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
18/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
11/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
04/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	9	5	D
29/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	9	1	W
13/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	18	3	L
06/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	12	1	D
02/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
26/05	FC Honka Finland Cup	0-2	1-5	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter II vs VJS Vantaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VJS Vantaa win (56%). Probabilities: FC Inter II 23%, draw 20%, VJS Vantaa 56%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter II vs VJS Vantaa?

The model expects 4.24 goals (FC Inter II 1.67 · VJS Vantaa 2.57), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter II vs VJS Vantaa?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.