Football · Finland Ykkonen · 31/07, 17:30

Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa vs Tampere Utd

Team pages: PK Keski-Uusimaa · Tampere Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

PK Keski-Uusimaa1.22

Tampere Utd1.37

1X2

33% 26% 41%

PK Keski-Uusimaa Draw Tampere Utd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

PK Keski-Uusimaa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWDLW

Tampere Utd 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWD

Head-to-head

PK Keski-Uusimaa 0–3–0 Tampere Utd (3 last)

Tampere Utd0-0PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa0-0Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd2-2PK Keski-Uusimaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1524 · Tampere Utd 1588

	PK Keski-Uusimaa	Draw	Tampere Utd
Our model	32%	29%	39%
Market	34%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1524 vs 1588).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PK Keski-Uusimaa	Tampere Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	4.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.75

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:06 +4’	2.60	3.75	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PK Keski-Uusimaa 0–3–0 Tampere Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa
10/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-0 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd
01/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	2-2 HT 1-1	PK Keski-Uusimaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	16	11	2	3	31	11	35
2	RoPS	16	9	5	2	35	16	32
3	OLS	17	7	5	5	32	24	26
4	SalPa	16	7	5	4	31	26	26
5	JJK	17	7	4	6	40	33	25
6	PK Keski-Uusimaa	16	7	4	5	29	22	25
7	VJS Vantaa	16	6	6	4	30	22	24
8	FC Jazz	16	7	2	7	22	23	20
9	TPV	16	4	4	8	19	29	16
10	FC Inter II	16	4	4	8	28	43	16
11	KUPS Akatemia	16	2	4	10	27	39	10
12	KPV	16	2	3	11	14	50	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PK Keski-Uusimaa	Tampere Utd
SalPa	1-0 W	0-1 L
VJS Vantaa	1-3 L	1-0 W
OLS	1-1 D	3-0 W
FC Jazz	2-1 W	1-0 W
RoPS	3-4 L	1-0 W
KPV	3-1 W	6-0 W
TPV	2-2 D	3-0 W
JJK	3-1 W	1-0 W
KUPS Akatemia	3-0 W	3-2 W
FC Inter II	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	8 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK Keski-Uusimaa

LWWDWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
22/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
18/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-1	3	7	W
05/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-4	6	7	L
28/06	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	3-1	11	5	W
14/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	4	8	D
06/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
29/05	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	9	4	W
24/05	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-2	6	5	L

Tampere Utd

WWWWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
18/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
04/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-2	3	8	W
25/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
06/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/05	TPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	3-0	14	1	W
22/05	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
16/05	KPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	6-0	10	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs Tampere Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampere Utd win (41%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa 33%, draw 26%, Tampere Utd 41%.

How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs Tampere Utd?

The model expects 2.58 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.22 · Tampere Utd 1.37), with a 61% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs Tampere Utd?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.