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Football · Finland Ykkonen · 05/08, 17:00

Prediction: OLS vs TPV

Team pages: OLS · TPV

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
OLS2.47
TPV1.28
1X2
63% 19% 18%
OLS Draw TPV
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
OLS 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWLDLLDW
TPV 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDLWWWLW
Head-to-head
OLS 0–2–1 TPV (3 last)
  • TPV2-2OLS
  • OLS0-3TPV
  • TPV2-2OLS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OLS 1469 · TPV 1505
OLSDrawTPV
Our model63%20%18%
Market63%19%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OLSTPV
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.81.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.82.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 0–2–1 TPV

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Finland Ykkonen
TPV2-2
HT 1-1
OLS
23/09/18
Finland Kakkonen Group C
OLS0-3
HT 0-3
TPV
26/06/18
Finland Kakkonen Group C
TPV2-2
HT 0-1
OLS

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 171133 351536
2 RoPS 17953 382232
3 OLS 17755 322426
4 PK Keski-Uusimaa 17755 332626
5 SalPa 17755 312926
6 VJS Vantaa 17674 312325
7 JJK 17746 403325
8 FC Jazz 17737 242521
9 TPV 17548 253219
10 FC Inter II 17458 294417
11 KPV 173311 175012
12 KUPS Akatemia 172510 294111

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOLSTPV
KPV 2-1 W 3-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa 1-1 D 2-2 D
VJS Vantaa 3-4 L 1-2 L
FC Inter II 1-3 L 1-1 D
KUPS Akatemia 2-2 D 3-1 W
Tampere Utd 0-3 L 0-3 L
SalPa 5-0 W 2-4 L
RoPS 1-1 D 6-3 W
JJK 0-1 L 1-0 W
FC Jazz 1-2 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 5 L 4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: TPV (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OLS

LLDWLDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 2-1 46 W
18/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-1 53 D
11/07 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
 1-1 3-4 13 L
04/07 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
 0-1 1-3 35 L
28/06 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
 2-1 2-2 104 D
11/06 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
 0-2 0-3 70 L
06/06 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
 2-0 5-0 54 W
02/06 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-1 –– D
28/05 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
 0-0 0-1 46 L
24/05 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-2 44 L

TPV

LLDDLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
 2-1 6-3 01 W
24/07 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
 0-1 0-4 43 L
18/07 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
 1-1 3-1 84 W
11/07 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
 2-0 3-1 73 W
05/07 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 1-0 85 W
29/06 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
 0-1 1-2 41 L
14/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
 1-0 2-2 58 D
06/06 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
 0-1 1-1 75 D
29/05 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
 0-3 0-3 21 L
23/05 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
 1-3 2-4 83 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OLS vs TPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OLS win (63%). Probabilities: OLS 63%, draw 19%, TPV 18%.

How many goals are expected in OLS vs TPV?

The model expects 3.75 goals (OLS 2.47 · TPV 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OLS vs TPV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.