Prediction: SC Grobinas vs Ogre United
| SC Grobinas | Draw | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Grobinas | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Grobinas 0–2–0 Ogre United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | Ogre United | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SC Grobinas |
| 13/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | Ogre United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SC Grobinas |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55 | 16 | 59 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 26 | 40 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 28 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 35 | 27 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 25 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 47 | 17 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 59 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Grobinas | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| SK Super Nova | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Tukums 2000 | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| FK Jelgava | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Auda | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| FK Liepaja | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| RFS | 1-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Riga FC | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: SC Grobinas (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Grobinas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Marupes SC Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
Ogre United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Valmiera FC Latvia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 25/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Grobinas vs Ogre United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Grobinas win (58%). Probabilities: SC Grobinas 58%, draw 24%, Ogre United 18%.
How many goals are expected in SC Grobinas vs Ogre United?
The model expects 2.74 goals (SC Grobinas 1.82 · Ogre United 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Grobinas vs Ogre United?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.