Prediction: Riga FC vs SC Grobinas
Team pages: Riga FC · SC Grobinas
- Riga FC2-0SC Grobinas
- SC Grobinas0-3Riga FC
- SC Grobinas1-1Riga FC
- Riga FC2-0SC Grobinas
- SC Grobinas0-2Riga FC
- Riga FC3-0SC Grobinas
| Riga FC | Draw | SC Grobinas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riga FC (rating 1625 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Riga FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Riga FC | SC Grobinas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riga FC 5–1–0 SC Grobinas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SC Grobinas |
| 18/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Riga FC |
| 02/11/25 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Riga FC |
| 10/08/25 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SC Grobinas |
| 14/06/25 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Riga FC |
| 19/04/25 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | SC Grobinas |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 16 | 62 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | 31 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 30 | 30 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 35 | 27 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 41 | 25 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 17 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 61 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Riga FC | SC Grobinas |
|---|---|---|
| Tukums 2000 | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FK Jelgava | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Auda | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Liepaja | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| RFS | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Riga FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/07 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/07 | Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
SC Grobinas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/07 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Marupes SC Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riga FC vs SC Grobinas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Riga FC win (83%). Probabilities: Riga FC 83%, draw 12%, SC Grobinas 5%.
How many goals are expected in Riga FC vs SC Grobinas?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Riga FC 2.61 · SC Grobinas 0.61), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Riga FC vs SC Grobinas?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.