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Football · Latvia Virsliga · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Ogre United vs RFS

Team pages: Ogre United · RFS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Ogre United0.95
RFS2.95
1X2
7% 12% 81%
Ogre United Draw RFS
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Ogre United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWLDLL
RFS 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWWDWWWD
Head-to-head
Ogre United 0–3 RFS (3 last)
  • RFS6-0Ogre United
  • Ogre United3-4RFS
  • RFS2-0Ogre United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ogre United 1429 · RFS 1613
Ogre UnitedDrawRFS
Our model8%14%77%
Market6%10%84%
Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1429 vs 1613).
  • H2H favours RFS: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ogre UnitedRFS
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 32.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.61.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.23.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ogre United 0–0–3 RFS

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/06/26
Latvia Virsliga
RFS6-0
HT 3-0
Ogre United
02/05/26
Latvia Virsliga
Ogre United3-4
HT 3-2
RFS
06/03/26
Latvia Virsliga
RFS2-0
HT 0-0
Ogre United

Standings · Latvia Virsliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 RFS 262132 652066
2 Riga FC 262051 792465
3 FK Auda 261646 432652
4 BFC Daugavpils 2710710 333137
5 FK Liepaja 2711412 363937
6 FK Jelgava 277713 284628
7 SK Super Nova 258413 263728
8 SC Grobinas 274914 195021
9 Tukums 2000 274815 405420
10 Ogre United 263518 266814

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOgre UnitedRFS
FK Jelgava 2-3 L 1-0 W
Riga FC 1-4 L 3-3 D
SC Grobinas 2-2 D 6-1 W
BFC Daugavpils 0-4 L 3-1 W
FK Liepaja 0-4 L 2-0 W
Tukums 2000 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RFS (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ogre United

LWLWLWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
 2-1 2-3 35 L
09/08 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 1-4 1-4 28 L
27/07 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
 2-0 2-2 34 D
19/07 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
 0-1 0-4 63 L
06/07 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 2-1 42 W
30/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
 0-3 0-4 73 L
26/06 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
 1-2 3-2 25 W
22/06 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
 0-3 0-6 34 L
17/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
 1-0 2-0 93 W
13/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 0-2 1-4 43 L

RFS

WLWWWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 0-1 3-3 44 D
10/08 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
 4-0 6-1 62 W
27/07 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
 1-0 1-0 82 W
20/07 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
 1-0 1-0 113 W
04/07 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 1-1 34 D
30/06 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
 1-0 3-1 43 W
26/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 2-0 45 W
22/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
 3-0 6-0 84 W
17/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 0-2 1-2 19 L
13/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
 2-0 3-1 40 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ogre United vs RFS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RFS win (81%). Probabilities: Ogre United 7%, draw 12%, RFS 81%.

How many goals are expected in Ogre United vs RFS?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Ogre United 0.95 · RFS 2.95), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ogre United vs RFS?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.